defeatatmarengo

Predicting since Jul 202546 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

No PnL history available for this account.

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics	Yes	$497	81¢	87¢	+$36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$452	48¢	55¢	+$70
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$10	9.8¢	12¢	+$2
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$25	4.9¢	2.1¢	-$14
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$25	3.5¢	1.5¢	-$15
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$5	1.3¢	1.6¢	+$1
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$5	1.2¢	1.1¢	-$1
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Politics	Yes	$4	89¢	75¢	-$1
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$4	26¢	24¢	-$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$3	88¢	88¢	-$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$2	31¢	38¢	+$0
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Politics	No	$2	81¢	78¢	-$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	40¢	46¢	+$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$1	52¢	52¢	+$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics	NoResolved	$1	86¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Politics	YesResolved	$19	12¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Politics	YesResolved	$204	42¢	0.0¢	-$204
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Politics	YesResolved	$288	39¢	0.0¢	-$288
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Politics	YesResolved	$277	39¢	0.0¢	-$277
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$229	76¢	0.0¢	-$229
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics	NoResolved	$426	42¢	0.0¢	-$426
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Politics	YesResolved	$300	36¢	0.0¢	-$300
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics	NoResolved	$100	81¢	0.0¢	-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.1K

Biggest hit

+$818

Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?

Toughest beat

-$201

Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?$232d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?$822d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?$4472d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?$5962d ago
Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4149d ago
Sold Yes · Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?$25511d ago
Sold Yes · Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?$2611d ago