← Whale Watch

PolyArbi

Predicting since Apr 2026541 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $604 across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$53186¢99¢+$81
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsYes$14342¢62¢+$71
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$19495¢97¢+$6
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$19694¢94¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$19193¢95¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$19394¢94¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$19193¢93¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$14183¢86¢+$6
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsYes$14242¢35¢-$23
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?PoliticsYes$11594¢94¢+$0
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$8439¢50¢+$23
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$11554¢51¢-$8
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$11254¢50¢-$8
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$9494¢97¢+$3
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$9797¢96¢-$1
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$9695¢94¢-$1
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsYes$9393¢94¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$9494¢94¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$9494¢93¢-$1
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsYes$8869¢73¢+$4
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsYes$9951¢47¢-$9
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$8381¢85¢+$4
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$2119¢79¢+$66
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?PoliticsYes$8695¢94¢-$1
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$8742¢40¢-$4
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$8073¢73¢-$1
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$7088¢93¢+$4
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$7086¢87¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$6793¢94¢+$1
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$6159¢64¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$5477¢91¢+$9
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsYes$4121¢31¢+$20
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$5081¢89¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$5989¢83¢-$4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$4352¢65¢+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?PoliticsYes$4582¢94¢+$6
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$4656¢60¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$4793¢94¢+$0
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$5081¢76¢-$3
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3417¢23¢+$11
Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?OtherYes$2563¢100¢+$15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1918¢38¢+$20
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?PoliticsYes$3894¢94¢-$0
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$1835¢74¢+$19
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$3394¢94¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$2444¢56¢+$7
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?PoliticsYes$2226¢34¢+$8
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$2893¢96¢+$1
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$2280¢100¢+$5
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsYes$3225¢21¢-$6
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$2788¢85¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$2112¢14¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$2748¢44¢-$3
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$2530¢25¢-$4
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$1620¢23¢+$3
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$8476¢17¢-$65
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$1785¢81¢-$1
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsYes$3310.0¢4.7¢-$18
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?PoliticsYes$3139¢19¢-$16
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?PoliticsYes$1720¢18¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$1616¢14¢-$1
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$946¢75¢+$6
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$3162¢26¢-$18
Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$34.3¢19¢+$9
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$1215¢14¢-$1
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$1113¢13¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$46.0¢14¢+$5
Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$1113¢11¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$884¢88¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$915¢11¢-$3
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$1319¢8.5¢-$7
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$43.5¢5.8¢+$2
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$810¢7.1¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$84.1¢2.6¢-$3
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$421¢26¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$41.8¢2.5¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$42.1¢2.5¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$52.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?PoliticsYes$22.1¢5.4¢+$3
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$254.0¢0.7¢-$20
Will Draško Stanivuković be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$87.0¢3.6¢-$4
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$87.0¢3.1¢-$4
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$311¢12¢+$0
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$211¢17¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the OR-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$32.7¢2.6¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$389¢93¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$32.8¢2.5¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?PoliticsYes$10.6¢2.5¢+$2
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$32.7¢2.4¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-16 House seat?PoliticsYes$22.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsYes$73.7¢1.1¢-$5
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsYes$32.4¢1.8¢-$1
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsYes$33.3¢1.9¢-$1
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$11.2¢2.3¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$12.5¢5.7¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$23.3¢2.5¢-$1
Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$21.1¢0.8¢-$1
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$410¢3.7¢-$3
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$58.9¢2.5¢-$4
Will Branko Blanuša be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$22.1¢1.4¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$36
Economy+$34
World Cup+$32
Soccer (other)+$23
Politics-$21
eSports+$19
Golf+$7
NBA+$2
Culture+$1
Other+$1
Other sports+$1
La Liga+$1
Biggest hit
+$689
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Toughest beat
-$633
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$321h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$211h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$121h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$181h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?$111h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$1313h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$1713h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$91d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$701d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$31d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$11d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$51d ago