← Whale Watch

longdated-poli

Predicting since Apr 20241,955 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.6K on Politics markets since Apr 2024.

Right now: $2.1K riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$77591¢88¢-$32
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$73591¢91¢-$4
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$67985¢72¢-$104
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$51193¢93¢-$5
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$56486¢76¢-$63
Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$54489¢80¢-$56
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$47889¢85¢-$21
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsNo$55880¢62¢-$126
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsYes$55277¢58¢-$134
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsYes$52864¢44¢-$171
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?PoliticsNo$39191¢82¢-$41
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$32591¢89¢-$7
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$32179¢76¢-$13
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?PoliticsYes$34887¢76¢-$46
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$29496¢95¢-$3
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?FinanceNo$30095¢67¢-$89
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?OtherNo$20094¢88¢-$14
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsNo$19689¢79¢-$23
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$17479¢75¢-$9
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsNo$20290¢73¢-$40
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?PoliticsYes$16592¢87¢-$9
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$15793¢91¢-$4
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsNo$13789¢82¢-$11
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?PoliticsNo$17883¢56¢-$57
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$13461¢53¢-$19
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$15872¢52¢-$45
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?PoliticsNo$17273¢47¢-$62
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$10552¢52¢-$1
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$20581¢38¢-$109
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$9584¢83¢-$2
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$12188¢65¢-$32
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechNo$9293¢87¢-$6
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$7988¢82¢-$5
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$8991¢73¢-$18
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$32850¢6.5¢-$286
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$7635¢19¢-$36
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$59416¢1.1¢-$556
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?PoliticsNo$4476¢59¢-$10
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsNo$4854¢38¢-$14
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$4610¢7.5¢-$12
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$4111¢8.5¢-$8
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$5312¢5.6¢-$28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$2226¢23¢-$3
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsYes$378.5¢4.0¢-$20
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1787¢83¢-$1
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?TechYes$1910¢5.3¢-$9
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechYes$1314¢9.5¢-$4
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?TechYes$219.0¢2.3¢-$16
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?PoliticsNo$1092¢32¢-$7
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?PoliticsYes$511¢7.5¢-$2
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $14B by July 31?FinanceYes$40.8¢0.6¢-$1
Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$214.8¢0.5¢-$19
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?FinanceYes$20.4¢0.4¢-$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by July 31?FinanceYes$283.3¢0.2¢-$26
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$329.4¢0.4¢-$31
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by July 31?FinanceYes$71.4¢0.3¢-$6
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 in June?FinanceYesResolved$64.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$9090¢0.0¢-$90
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in July?FinanceNoResolved$4487¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?EconomyNoResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?PoliticsNoResolved$188.4¢0.0¢-$18
Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10670¢0.0¢-$106
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in June?FinanceYesResolved$123.1¢0.0¢-$12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K95¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.0B in Q3?TechYesResolved$2579¢0.0¢-$25
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$61.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?PoliticsYesResolved$8611¢0.0¢-$86
Ebola emergency by June 30?WeatherNoResolved$792¢0.0¢-$7
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$35096¢0.0¢-$350
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$56392¢0.0¢-$563
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?TechYesResolved$47.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?PoliticsNoResolved$257.3¢0.0¢-$25
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$50091¢0.0¢-$500
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?FinanceYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$7.6K
NBA-$537
MLB+$508
Finance-$245
Crypto-$223
Economy-$48
Soccer (other)-$43
Tech-$25
Premier League+$19
Other-$14
Tennis+$11
La Liga-$10
Biggest hit
+$594
Will Biden finish his term?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Congress override any veto in 2026?$1634m ago
  • Bought No · Will Congress override any veto in 2026?$1635m ago
  • Bought No · Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?$8617m ago
  • Bought No · Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?$11417m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10518m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$318m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$318m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$126m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$127m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$041m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$042m ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$261h ago