 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Crypto | No | $1.2K | 93¢ | 70¢ | -$295 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $771 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $788 | 92¢ | 85¢ | -$60 |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | No | $778 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$76 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Weather | No | $600 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$51 |
 Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $561 | 91¢ | 85¢ | -$35 |
 LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Politics | No | $523 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$4 |
 Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $533 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$17 |
 Will Marcos Rogério win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $541 | 82¢ | 75¢ | -$46 |
 Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $509 | 88¢ | 77¢ | -$68 |
 Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $465 | 85¢ | 72¢ | -$70 |
 Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $397 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$17 |
 Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $386 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$10 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in September?Finance | No | $650 | 92¢ | 53¢ | -$279 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $488 | 74¢ | 50¢ | -$162 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $338 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$12 |
 Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $457 | 91¢ | 61¢ | -$151 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $363 | 85¢ | 70¢ | -$64 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?Politics | No | $354 | 94¢ | 70¢ | -$91 |
 Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $264 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$10 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $272 | 92¢ | 82¢ | -$31 |
 Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $247 | 95¢ | 87¢ | -$22 |
 Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $208 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$10 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000?Politics | No | $215 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$22 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?Politics | No | $197 | 96¢ | 93¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $233 | 79¢ | 65¢ | -$44 |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture | Yes | $196 | 89¢ | 82¢ | -$17 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $173 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $207 | 95¢ | 77¢ | -$41 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $174 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$11 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | Yes | $204 | 36¢ | 28¢ | -$43 |
 Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | Yes | $227 | 55¢ | 39¢ | -$69 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | Yes | $121 | 42¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Politics | No | $148 | 86¢ | 68¢ | -$31 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Crypto | No | $216 | 86¢ | 44¢ | -$105 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?Finance | No | $126 | 91¢ | 78¢ | -$18 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $111 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$4 |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | Yes | $186 | 28¢ | 16¢ | -$80 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $124 | 56¢ | 44¢ | -$26 |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $109 | 88¢ | 76¢ | -$15 |
 Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $104 | 39¢ | 36¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $93 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$2 |
| Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $74 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
 Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $91 | 88¢ | 79¢ | -$9 |
 Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics | No | $80 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$3 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$2 |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?Finance | No | $63 | 93¢ | 89¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $60 | 84¢ | 65¢ | -$14 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?Finance | No | $52 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$7 |
 LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Politics | No | $42 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Politics | No | $184 | 27¢ | 5.5¢ | -$147 |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $328 | 50¢ | 5.5¢ | -$292 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $57 | 88¢ | 55¢ | -$22 |
 Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?Politics | No | $105 | 82¢ | 24¢ | -$74 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $32 | 82¢ | 65¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $31 | 88¢ | 66¢ | -$8 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $28 | 85¢ | 68¢ | -$6 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech | Yes | $31 | 4.2¢ | 2.5¢ | -$12 |
 Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech | Yes | $38 | 8.7¢ | 4.3¢ | -$19 |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 6.8¢ | 3.6¢ | -$16 |
 Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Culture | No | $22 | 8.0¢ | 4.6¢ | -$9 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $77 | 12¢ | 1.8¢ | -$64 |
| Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | Yes | $99 | 15¢ | 1.8¢ | -$87 |
 Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?Weather | Yes | $48 | 5.5¢ | 1.4¢ | -$36 |
 Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Politics | No | $28 | 15¢ | 5.1¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?Politics | Yes | $6 | 4.0¢ | 5.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $7 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Rennes be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | Yes | $15 | 11¢ | 5.0¢ | -$8 |
 Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 8.4¢ | 3.3¢ | -$10 |
 Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | +$4 |
 Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?Politics | No | $22 | 14¢ | 3.1¢ | -$17 |
 Will Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 7.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 90¢ | 50¢ | -$3 |
 Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 3.8¢ | 1.8¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.6¢ | 3.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.7¢ | 2.4¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Economy | Yes | $9 | 5.3¢ | 1.5¢ | -$7 |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 6.7¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 7.0¢ | 1.9¢ | -$6 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $2 | 4.6¢ | 4.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 95¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 4.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 4.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 11¢ | 8.0¢ | -$0 |
 Tread FDV above $500M one day after launchCrypto | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Tread FDV above $400M one day after launchCrypto | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?$020m ago
Sold No · Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?$121m ago
Sold Yes · Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?$426m ago