 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $558 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $499 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $279 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$6 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $230 | 62¢ | 71¢ | +$33 |
 Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 700k?Culture | No | $183 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams?Culture | No | $175 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | Yes | $165 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $114 | 69¢ | 97¢ | +$46 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $155 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $282 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$143 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams?Culture | No | $34 | 26¢ | 93¢ | +$86 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $126 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$14 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $113 | 5.9¢ | 4.5¢ | -$27 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $77 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $175 | 48¢ | 22¢ | -$96 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 500k?Culture | No | $69 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?Politics | No | $76 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $274 | 38¢ | 9.5¢ | -$205 |
 Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics | No | $45 | 15¢ | 22¢ | +$22 |
 Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Tech | No | $59 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $57 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $41 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Politics | No | $41 | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
 Will Marcos Rogério win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?Politics | No | $34 | 73¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?Finance | No | $35 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $173 | 38¢ | 7.5¢ | -$139 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $34 | 76¢ | 69¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $30 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?Culture | No | $29 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 36¢ | 55¢ | +$9 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.025T by September 30?Finance | No | $21 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StageeSports | BlitzkriegResolved | $17 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?Tech | No | $15 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 79¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k?Culture | No | $13 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 71¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 55¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Politics | Yes | $272 | 6.2¢ | 0.3¢ | -$261 |
 ITF W50 Prague Women: Anna Siskova vs Aneta KucmovaTennis | Aneta KucmovaResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
 Will Brent Ingraham be the next confirmed Army Secretary?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | No | $15 | 76¢ | 49¢ | -$5 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Politics | No | $10 | 57¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
 LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnereSports | JD GamingResolved | $7 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Politics | Yes | $9 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 66¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $81 | 50¢ | 2.9¢ | -$77 |
 Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 250k?Culture | No | $5 | 88¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 9.3¢ | 2.9¢ | -$4 |
 Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?Culture | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 8.1¢ | -$5 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
 SC Internacional vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $315 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$315 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnereSports | Invictus GamingResolved | $2.4K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnereSports | Natus VincereResolved | $12 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Counter-Strike: underw0rld vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 PlayoffseSports | QUINTESSÊNCIAResolved | $9 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)eSports | Pipsqueak+4Resolved | $99 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 WinnereSports | Aurora GamingResolved | $1.6K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Jaguars vs. BroncosNFL | JaguarsResolved | $583 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$583 |
| Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs mellren - Map 2 WinnereSports | Esport BERGResolved | $73 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnereSports | TYLOOResolved | $981 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$981 |
 Will CA Unión win on 2026-09-07?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $7 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Hamburger SV vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Bundesliga | UnderResolved | $397 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$397 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 WinnereSports | SentinelsResolved | $919 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$919 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnereSports | VitalityResolved | $44 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 0.5Soccer (other) | OverResolved | $17 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffseSports | BIGResolved | $82 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star - Map 1 WinnereSports | AstralisResolved | $3.7K | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.7K |
 Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?MLS | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs SheltonTennis | SheltonResolved | $128 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
 Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?Culture | YesResolved | $54 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffseSports | MOUZResolved | $81 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnereSports | KT RolsterResolved | $1.1K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao HibinoTennis | Nao HibinoResolved | $1.1K | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnereSports | KT RolsterResolved | $386 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$386 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnereSports | Natus VincereResolved | $522 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$522 |
 Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 WinnereSports | Gentle MatesResolved | $130 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | Gen.GResolved | $357 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$357 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnereSports | GIANTXResolved | $346 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$346 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $16 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CeSports | VitalityResolved | $97 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $1.7K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5eSports | OverResolved | $4 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 3 WinnereSports | FURIA EsportsResolved | $2.7K | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30?Finance | NoResolved | $63 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
 Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |