 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $618 | 13¢ | 38¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $280 | 9.3¢ | 17¢ | +$243 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $210 | 21¢ | 30¢ | +$85 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $318 | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$94 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $83 | 8.3¢ | 17¢ | +$89 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $144 | 36¢ | 22¢ | -$58 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $736 | 7.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$672 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $55 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$12 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$41 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $40 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$8 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $163 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$138 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 7.5¢ | 4.9¢ | -$13 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 50¢ | 17¢ | -$34 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $105 | 7.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$89 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.3¢ | 14¢ | +$5 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $100 | 50¢ | 6.5¢ | -$87 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.7K | 8.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.7K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $22 | 7.3¢ | 3.4¢ | -$12 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $750 | 50¢ | 0.7¢ | -$740 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $143 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$135 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 4.6¢ | 1.3¢ | -$17 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$13 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $108 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $68 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $101 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $256 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$256 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $73 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $116 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Other | YesResolved | $19 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $200 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?Mentions | YesResolved | $59 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $815 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$815 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $566 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$566 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $604 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$604 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $213 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$213 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics | YesResolved | $302 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$302 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $230 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $193 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$193 |
 Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump say "Bobby" or "Kennedy" during healthcare event?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersWorld Cup | UnderResolved | $177 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$177 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $144 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
 Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?La Liga | NoResolved | $13 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.8K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during healthcare event?Mentions | NoResolved | $43 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will Trump say "Pig" in May?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?Mentions | NoResolved | $37 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $160 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
 Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $57 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $631 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$631 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | NoResolved | $120 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $186 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Tech | NoResolved | $61 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $63 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $381 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$381 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $119 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$119 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.3K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $70 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $186 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech | NoResolved | $41 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?Mentions | NoResolved | $92 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $50 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $184 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $201 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$201 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $199 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$199 |