Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $618 | 13¢ | 35¢ | +$1.0K |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $210 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$5 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $74 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$11 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $68 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$16 |
Kash Patel out by September 30?Politics | No | $74 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $126 | 42¢ | 22¢ | -$62 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $126 | 42¢ | 8.5¢ | -$101 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.3¢ | 19¢ | +$10 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 7.5¢ | 3.5¢ | -$19 |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 50¢ | 16¢ | -$34 |
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 11¢ | 3.5¢ | -$31 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $55 | 9.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$42 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $13 | 9.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$4 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $108 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $68 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $101 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $559 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$559 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $143 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $256 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$256 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $73 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $116 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Other | YesResolved | $19 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $200 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?Mentions | YesResolved | $59 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $815 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$815 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $93 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $566 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$566 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $124 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $604 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$604 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $213 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$213 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics | YesResolved | $302 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$302 |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Politics | YesResolved | $144 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $230 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $193 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$193 |
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Trump say "Bobby" or "Kennedy" during healthcare event?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.7K | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $190 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$190 |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Culture | NoResolved | $64 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Politics | NoResolved | $154 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$154 |
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersWorld Cup | UnderResolved | $177 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$177 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $144 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?La Liga | NoResolved | $13 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.8K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Hims say "Regulation" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $14 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $193 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$193 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $62 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during healthcare event?Mentions | NoResolved | $43 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will Trump say "Pig" in May?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?Mentions | NoResolved | $37 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $94 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Julie Allemand: Points O/U 6.5Other sports | YesResolved | $63 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $160 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $57 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Other sports | Toronto TempoResolved | $500 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $631 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$631 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $135 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | NoResolved | $120 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $186 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Other sports | Washington MysticsResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Tech | NoResolved | $61 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $145 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $63 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $381 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$381 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $119 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$119 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.3K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |