Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $70 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $60 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$4 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $22 | 44¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 18¢ | 3.5¢ | -$13 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $8 | 20¢ | 6.1¢ | -$6 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 3.6¢ | -$0 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $2 | 3.4¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Boxing | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will River Plate win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance) Soccer (other) | Inter Miami Resolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
U.S. recession before May 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
49ers vs. SeahawksNFL | 49ersResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the fight end in the Round 2?Boxing | YesResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |