← Whale Watch

earthperson

Predicting since Jan 202663 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$3821¢4.5¢-$30
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$2057¢21¢-$13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1047¢21¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$1032¢8.5¢-$7
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?PoliticsYesResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$015¢0.0¢-$0
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$35.6¢0.0¢-$3
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$09.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 27?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?PoliticsYesResolved$1269¢0.0¢-$12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$23.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$957¢0.0¢-$9
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$026¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$020¢0.0¢-$0
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$916¢0.0¢-$9
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$367.0¢0.0¢-$36
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Iran leadership change by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Iran leadership change by March 13?PoliticsYesResolved$18.7¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$23.7¢0.0¢-$2
Iran leadership change by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1430¢0.0¢-$14

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$5
Politics-$4
Biggest hit
+$85
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$52
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$012d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$012d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$112d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$212d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$026d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$028d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$01mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$01mo ago