 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3.6K | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$813 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $3.6K | 65¢ | 59¢ | -$345 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 32¢ | 75¢ | +$1.6K |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$262 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $368 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $158 | 63¢ | 21¢ | -$107 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $381 | 86¢ | 11¢ | -$335 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $65 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$20 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 2?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $409 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$409 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $228 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$228 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture | NoResolved | $1.3K | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $719 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$719 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $764 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$764 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $159 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$159 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $478 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$478 |
 Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $113 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $303 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$303 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Tech | NoResolved | $182 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $104 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $82 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $360 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$360 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Politics | NoResolved | $192 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$192 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $960 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$960 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $66 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $570 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$570 |
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffseSports | Team LiquidResolved | $500 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $225 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
 Will Trump say "Patriot" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Mentions | NoResolved | $14 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $428 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$428 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Politics | YesResolved | $167 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$167 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $539 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$539 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.7K | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $148 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |