← Whale Watch

PolyPlayerMADMAN

Predicting since Dec 2025129 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $23K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $7.2K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.6K on Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$2.5K25¢16¢-$927
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2491.8¢2.4¢+$69
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$28552¢54¢+$9
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1981.8¢2.3¢+$44
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$803.0¢3.5¢+$12
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$852.2¢2.4¢+$6
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$8031¢33¢+$3
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$502.8¢3.4¢+$10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$453.5¢3.6¢+$2
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$201.5¢1.6¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$101.7¢1.8¢+$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$215¢28¢+$2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$111¢12¢+$0
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$11714¢0.0¢-$117
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$75029¢0.0¢-$750
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5.1K47¢0.0¢-$5.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K63¢0.0¢-$1.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$59838¢0.0¢-$598
Will there be exactly 7 games played during the 2026 NBA Finals?Basketball (other)YesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsYesResolved$27311¢0.0¢-$273
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$1953.6¢0.0¢-$195
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$221.9¢0.0¢-$22
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?PoliticsYesResolved$4219.5¢0.0¢-$421
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$13211¢0.0¢-$132
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?PoliticsNoResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$39810¢0.0¢-$398
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$54.5¢0.0¢-$5
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?PoliticsYesResolved$5868.2¢0.0¢-$586
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$136.8¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$23K
Crypto-$855
World Cup+$749
Tech-$4
NBA-$2
Basketball (other)-$1
Mentions-$1
Biggest hit
+$5.6K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Toughest beat
-$11K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2852h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$2402h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1502h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1002h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1364h ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1334h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$19319h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.2K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2004d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1894d ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$2005d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5005d ago