 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $124 | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$26 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $43 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $37 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $33 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $31 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $34 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $21 | 61¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $29 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $24 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $23 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $27 | 90¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $27 | 91¢ | 74¢ | -$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $15 | 25¢ | 34¢ | +$6 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $19 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be greater than 0.1?Weather | No | $19 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $16 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $14 | 78¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in July?Weather | Yes | $9 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 37¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 75¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $7 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.6B?Finance | No | $3 | 14¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
 John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 64¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
| Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.75B?Finance | Yes | $1 | 3.5¢ | 3.5¢ | +$0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 98¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 97¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $0 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$846m ago
Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$21h ago