aris18 · Whale Watch

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aris18

Predicting since Jun 202535 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics	NoResolved	$20	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$40	9.8¢	0.0¢	-$40
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$40	21¢	0.0¢	-$40
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	36¢	0.0¢	-$20
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$30	45¢	0.0¢	-$30
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?Politics	YesResolved	$33	66¢	0.0¢	-$33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?Politics	YesResolved	$45	90¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$5	60¢	0.0¢	-$5
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	24¢	0.0¢	-$20
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Politics	NoResolved	$2	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$60	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Politics	NoResolved	$30	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$30
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$250

Crypto-$6

NBA-$5

Biggest hit

+$48

US military action against Iran before July?

Toughest beat

-$22

Israel strike on Iran on June 24?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$52mo ago
Bought No · Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$204mo ago
Bought No · Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$304mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$57mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$208mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$208mo ago
Sold Yes · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$448mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$408mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$208mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$208mo ago
Sold Yes · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$208mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$208mo ago