Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $100 | 9.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$51 |
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $50 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$10 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $100 | 18¢ | 5.5¢ | -$69 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $50 | 9.9¢ | 3.1¢ | -$34 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$8 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $25 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Champions League | YesResolved | $200 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?Politics | NoResolved | $32 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Boxing | YesResolved | $20 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $60 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBoxing | RicoResolved | $200 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Lakers vs. ThunderNBA | LakersResolved | $200 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Crypto | YesResolved | $150 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Boxing | YesResolved | $50 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | MexicoResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $35 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $100 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.1K | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $100 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $20 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | NoResolved | $50 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | Bosnia and HerzegovinaResolved | $100 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)Soccer (other) | Real MadridResolved | $20 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump say "Elon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $875 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$875 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $50 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Over 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $50 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Spurs vs. KnicksNBA | KnicksResolved | $100 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |