← Whale Watch

armand

Predicting since Mar 2023346 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets since Mar 2023.

Right now: $1.9K riding on Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$6.4K on Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K95¢98¢+$64
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K81¢96¢+$221
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$96496¢97¢+$2
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$91091¢96¢+$46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$55055¢89¢+$335
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$91091¢88¢-$35
Macron out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$39579¢100¢+$105
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$22022¢14¢-$75
Obama arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$788¢97¢+$1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in June?EconomyYesResolved$40516¢0.0¢-$405
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$28729¢0.0¢-$287
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?PoliticsYesResolved$811¢0.0¢-$8
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$16520¢0.0¢-$165
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$24024¢0.0¢-$240
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?PoliticsYesResolved$45015¢0.0¢-$450
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1133.0¢0.0¢-$113
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$41632¢0.0¢-$416
Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$350.7¢0.0¢-$35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$15219¢0.0¢-$152
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?EconomyYesResolved$74325¢0.0¢-$743
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$22713¢0.0¢-$227
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?PoliticsYesResolved$3723.7¢0.0¢-$372
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$1752.5¢0.0¢-$175
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K76¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$35314¢0.0¢-$353
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BoxingYesResolved$898.9¢0.0¢-$89
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?EconomyYesResolved$12012¢0.0¢-$120
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$49333¢0.0¢-$493
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?PoliticsYesResolved$2834.2¢0.0¢-$283
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$48022¢0.0¢-$480
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$59820¢0.0¢-$598
Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?PoliticsYesResolved$334.4¢0.0¢-$33
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$351.2¢0.0¢-$35
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsYesResolved$1843.1¢0.0¢-$184
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$10050¢0.0¢-$100
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October?EconomyYesResolved$51014¢0.0¢-$510
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$161.6¢0.0¢-$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?FinanceYesResolved$25526¢0.0¢-$255
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?PoliticsYesResolved$98326¢0.0¢-$983
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?PoliticsYesResolved$2404.8¢0.0¢-$240
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?EconomyYesResolved$84431¢0.0¢-$844
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?PoliticsYesResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?EconomyYesResolved$2896.6¢0.0¢-$289
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$747.0¢0.0¢-$74
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?EconomyYesResolved$800.8¢0.0¢-$80
Will Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$525.2¢0.0¢-$52
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$26026¢0.0¢-$260
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?PoliticsYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$52013¢0.0¢-$520
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?PoliticsYesResolved$2143.0¢0.0¢-$214
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$11612¢0.0¢-$116
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?EconomyYesResolved$6624.8¢0.0¢-$662
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$1182.9¢0.0¢-$118
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K40¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Johannes Kaiser win between 10% and 13% of votes in the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$444.1¢0.0¢-$44
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?EconomyYesResolved$85711¢0.0¢-$857
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$30916¢0.0¢-$309
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?EconomyYesResolved$8837.3¢0.0¢-$883
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K18¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$221.1¢0.0¢-$22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$57414¢0.0¢-$574
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$68068¢0.0¢-$680
Will Jeannette Jara and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$261.3¢0.0¢-$26
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?EconomyYesResolved$2406.0¢0.0¢-$240
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?PoliticsYesResolved$63237¢0.0¢-$632
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$55441¢0.0¢-$554
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$36.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?FinanceYesResolved$98418¢0.0¢-$984
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.5¢0.0¢-$102
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$1775.9¢0.0¢-$177
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?PoliticsYesResolved$577.0¢0.0¢-$57
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$549.0¢0.0¢-$54
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K43¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?EconomyYesResolved$512.2¢0.0¢-$51
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?EconomyYesResolved$1.1K13¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$29559¢0.0¢-$295
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K26¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$842.8¢0.0¢-$84
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?EconomyNoResolved$14853¢0.0¢-$148
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$022¢0.0¢-$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?EconomyYesResolved$25025¢0.0¢-$250

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$14K
Economy-$2.5K
Finance-$2.4K
Culture+$859
Tech-$175
Boxing-$89
Other-$20
Biggest hit
+$6.4K
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?