 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $151 | 15¢ | 56¢ | +$404 |
 Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?eSports | No | $240 | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$62 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $153 | 55¢ | 62¢ | +$20 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $231 | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$60 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $120 | 44¢ | 62¢ | +$48 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $126 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $67 | 36¢ | 67¢ | +$58 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 12¢ | 83¢ | +$106 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $91 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$18 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $119 | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$11 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Tech | No | $96 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $60 | 55¢ | 94¢ | +$43 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $113 | 48¢ | 42¢ | -$15 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $88 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | Yes | $60 | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$27 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?Tech | No | $110 | 35¢ | 28¢ | -$23 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $63 | 66¢ | 88¢ | +$22 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $54 | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$28 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $74 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $197 | 21¢ | 8.5¢ | -$116 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $76 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $106 | 54¢ | 39¢ | -$30 |
 Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Weather | Yes | $62 | 42¢ | 51¢ | +$13 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $70 | 73¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $55 | 59¢ | 76¢ | +$15 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $58 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?eSports | No | $50 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 29¢ | 63¢ | +$28 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $41 | 57¢ | 74¢ | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $43 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $58 | 56¢ | 50¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?Weather | No | $52 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | No | $46 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 33¢ | 64¢ | +$21 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $48 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $64 | 60¢ | 42¢ | -$20 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $81 | 81¢ | 42¢ | -$39 |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $36 | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $31 | 49¢ | 60¢ | +$7 |
 Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Culture | No | $46 | 58¢ | 48¢ | -$8 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | No | $36 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $46 | 5.7¢ | 4.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $26 | 64¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 17¢ | 36¢ | +$17 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Tech | No | $2 | 6.6¢ | 90¢ | +$30 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 65¢ | 58¢ | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 46¢ | 86¢ | +$14 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 79¢ | 58¢ | -$11 |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$10 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 39¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
 Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? eSports | No | $25 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $31 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$13 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $35 | 63¢ | 47¢ | -$9 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | No | $33 | 45¢ | 33¢ | -$9 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $33 | 13¢ | 9.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$9 |
 Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 29¢ | 35¢ | +$3 |
 Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | No | $21 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 8.4¢ | 6.2¢ | -$8 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 20¢ | 7.6¢ | -$32 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $93 | 43¢ | 9.2¢ | -$73 |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?Culture | No | $20 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 18¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 3.2¢ | 2.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 25¢ | +$15 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.4¢ | 26¢ | +$13 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $12 | 27¢ | 37¢ | +$4 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 35¢ | 27¢ | -$5 |
 Will Thinky have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $12 | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 29¢ | +$5 |
| Benedict Wong as Wong?Culture | No | $19 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?Finance | No | $13 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $13 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 7.8¢ | 15¢ | +$7 |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 44¢ | 25¢ | -$10 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $23 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 50¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 41¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 37¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 88¢ | +$9 |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 15, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 94¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $9 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech | Yes | $7 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |