dafa21

Predicting since Jul 2025144 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics	No	$10	81¢	93¢	+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$10	91¢	100¢	+$1
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Politics	No	$6	88¢	94¢	+$0
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto	No	$6	97¢	68¢	-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$11	93¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	84¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$5	92¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$5	96¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World Cup	YesResolved	$8	92¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	89¢	0.0¢	-$3
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	59¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$5	95¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$6	95¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	97¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$7	87¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?World Cup	YesResolved	$8	77¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	93¢	0.0¢	-$3
Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?Crypto	UpResolved	$2	85¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Eric Adams drop out?Politics	NoResolved	$5	85¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	57¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20?Crypto	DownResolved	$3	43¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$26

Crypto-$14

World Cup-$8

Mentions-$4

Economy-$3

Other sports+$1

Biggest hit

+$4

Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?

Toughest beat

-$5

Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?$1216d ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?$1121d ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$1121d ago
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?$1021d ago
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1021d ago
Sold Yes · Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$521d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$141mo ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$111mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$111mo ago
Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$111mo ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$111mo ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$101mo ago