 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $22K | 8.1¢ | 3.5¢ | -$12K |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.7K | 7.9¢ | 2.3¢ | -$3.3K |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 4.8¢ | 4.7¢ | -$2 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $114 | 6.9¢ | 2.3¢ | -$77 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$23 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $199 | 6.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$183 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Politics | Yes | $33 | 1.6¢ | 0.8¢ | -$17 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 5.0¢ | 3.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.1¢ | 7.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $260 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$260 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $593 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$593 |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Politics | YesResolved | $191 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$191 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $180 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $143 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics | YesResolved | $514 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$514 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $78 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $222 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$222 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | NoResolved | $721 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$721 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $217 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$217 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $117 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $131 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $230 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $145 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $575 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$575 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics | YesResolved | $62 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.0K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3.1K | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Politics | YesResolved | $132 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics | YesResolved | $253 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$253 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $76 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $301 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$301 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $833 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$833 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $62 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $997 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$997 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $132 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $395 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$395 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.1K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $249 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$249 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $83 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $143 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Politics | YesResolved | $581 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$581 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $94 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $284 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$284 |
| Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Politics | YesResolved | $323 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$323 |
 US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $510 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$510 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $298 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$298 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $73 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics | YesResolved | $360 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$360 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $205 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $94 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $128 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $260 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$260 |
 Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Politics | YesResolved | $374 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$374 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $693 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$693 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $123 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Politics | YesResolved | $147 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $859 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$859 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $131 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |