← Whale Watch

silicone45

Predicting since May 2025455 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15477¢92¢+$31
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?CultureNoResolved$481¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9.5m and $11m?CultureNoResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?EconomyNoResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?GolfNoResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?CultureYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1850¢0.0¢-$18
Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” after SeptemberCultureNoResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?CultureYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?EconomyNoResolved$02.3¢0.0¢-$0
"Him" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?CultureNoResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will SPD get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$470¢0.0¢-$4
"Pokemon Legends: Z-A" Metascore 70–79CultureNoResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will neither OP_CTV nor OP_CAT be activated in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?WeatherNoResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win more than 46 seats in the Norwegian election?PoliticsNoResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?CultureYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Britt Lower win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series?CultureNoResolved$478¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$472¢0.0¢-$4
Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?WeatherYesResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Conservative Party (H) win between 23 and 25 seats in the Norwegian election?PoliticsNoResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?CultureNoResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsNoResolved$598¢0.0¢-$5
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Eric Adams drop out first?PoliticsNoResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be 90-94CultureNoResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will The Left (Levica) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Přísaha get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Starostové get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?EconomyNoResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Will China's monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?PoliticsNoResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?CultureNoResolved$364¢0.0¢-$3
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$02.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?CultureYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Other sportsNoResolved$4676¢0.0¢-$46
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Noah Wyle win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?CultureNoResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Adolescence win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series?CultureNoResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$124
Tech-$38
Other sports+$23
Culture-$6
Weather+$3
NBA+$2
Economy+$1
Golf+$0
Crypto+$0
Other+$0
Premier League+$0
Biggest hit
+$233
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$94
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$51mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$6532mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$6502mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$4962mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$362mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$562mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$612mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$2082mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$12mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$12mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$52mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$202mo ago