← Whale Watch

.perseverance

Predicting since Mar 2026767 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$9483¢93¢+$11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$8083¢82¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$6084¢84¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$5786¢87¢+$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5090¢98¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?WeatherYes$2040¢100¢+$30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?FinanceNo$4082¢95¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$4086¢96¢+$5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$4092¢99¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$3586¢100¢+$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3088¢92¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$3087¢84¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3088¢83¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$2079¢99¢+$5
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureNo$2589¢90¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$2286¢92¢+$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$4086¢50¢-$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$2090¢99¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceYes$2083¢91¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2092¢100¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1152¢97¢+$10
Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$2094¢100¢+$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$2091¢95¢+$1
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYes$2080¢84¢+$1
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2087¢90¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$2093¢95¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$2084¢83¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2087¢83¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 26?WeatherNo$1891¢94¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$2081¢75¢-$2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?FinanceNo$1988¢84¢-$1
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$1583¢100¢+$3
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1790¢96¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceYes$1593¢98¢+$1
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1588¢87¢-$0
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$1286¢100¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$2081¢54¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?WeatherYes$1076¢100¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1186¢100¢+$2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$1080¢100¢+$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$1084¢100¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1085¢100¢+$2
Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?PoliticsNo$1188¢98¢+$1
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?PoliticsNo$1082¢96¢+$2
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1087¢98¢+$1
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?CultureNo$1084¢98¢+$2
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$1081¢94¢+$2
Will Corning (GLW) Q2 Optical Communications sales be above $1.9B?FinanceYes$1080¢92¢+$2
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsYes$1080¢91¢+$1
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1082¢91¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$1088¢97¢+$1
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$1091¢99¢+$1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?FinanceNo$1084¢91¢+$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?CultureNo$1093¢100¢+$1
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1092¢99¢+$1
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$1090¢97¢+$1
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 24%-26%?FinanceNo$1087¢93¢+$1
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?EconomyNo$1088¢93¢+$1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1089¢94¢+$1
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$1081¢86¢+$1
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$1081¢86¢+$1
Will "Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 1?CultureYes$1094¢99¢+$1
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢99¢+$0
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?TechYes$1089¢93¢+$0
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$1093¢96¢+$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$1084¢87¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$1092¢94¢+$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of July?FinanceYes$1090¢92¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$1085¢86¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$1085¢86¢+$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?FinanceNo$1092¢93¢+$0
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$1091¢91¢-$0
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$1087¢87¢+$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$1093¢93¢+$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$1080¢79¢-$0
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$1084¢84¢-$0
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1083¢83¢-$0
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$1082¢81¢-$0
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1085¢84¢-$0
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1082¢81¢-$0
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherYes$1085¢83¢-$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?FinanceNo$1090¢85¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 26?WeatherYes$884¢100¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1087¢77¢-$1
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1090¢79¢-$1
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $214 in July?FinanceNo$893¢98¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$893¢99¢+$0
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?FinanceNo$886¢94¢+$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$987¢82¢-$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1083¢65¢-$2
Will anyone say "Horse" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?MentionsYes$791¢92¢+$0
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?PoliticsNo$780¢80¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on July 26?WeatherNo$693¢93¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 26?WeatherNo$582¢96¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 26?WeatherYes$589¢100¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$1084¢43¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?WeatherYes$591¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 27?WeatherNo$590¢95¢+$0
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?PoliticsNo$488¢98¢+$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$585¢79¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$69
Crypto-$57
Weather-$49
Culture+$33
Tech-$13
Economy+$9
Mentions-$8
Finance-$7
Formula 1+$1
World Cup+$0
Biggest hit
+$12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Toughest beat
-$26
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 26?$1814m ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$1127m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?$735m ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$951m ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 26?$81h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 26?$121h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 27?$21h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?$81h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$201h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 26?$62h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 26?$32h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 26?$112h ago