sonofhamilcar

Predicting since Apr 202547 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$4	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?Mentions	YesResolved	$32	34¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$3
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$19	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–74?Culture	YesResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics	YesResolved	$6	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Politics	YesResolved	$56	38¢	0.0¢	-$56
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$9	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$9
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Politics	YesResolved	$20	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Politics	YesResolved	$10	19¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Politics	YesResolved	$7	19¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Mentions	YesResolved	$10	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$30	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$20	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$20
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$8	24¢	0.0¢	-$8
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$2
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$295

Culture-$57

Mentions-$42

Biggest hit

+$33

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Toughest beat

-$29

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?$11mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?$01mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$81mo ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$14mo ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$14mo ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$14mo ago