TheTurkishGoat

Predicting since Jan 2026139 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$115	63¢	66¢	+$5
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$70	77¢	96¢	+$18
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Politics	No	$79	88¢	94¢	+$5
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$190	39¢	11¢	-$137
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	No	$10	69¢	72¢	+$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics	Yes	$32	48¢	14¢	-$23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$10	53¢	44¢	-$2
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics	Yes	$10	61¢	34¢	-$5
Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics	Yes	$7	11¢	5.0¢	-$4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1	20¢	40¢	+$1
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	28¢	11¢	-$3
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$1	52¢	58¢	+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics	No	$2	15¢	7.5¢	-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$106	69¢	0.0¢	-$106
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$5	45¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics	YesResolved	$30	34¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Politics	NoResolved	$20	68¢	0.0¢	-$20
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$25	60¢	0.0¢	-$25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$338	85¢	0.0¢	-$338
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	35¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$23	23¢	0.0¢	-$23
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$25	35¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$80	87¢	0.0¢	-$80
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics	NoResolved	$117	66¢	0.0¢	-$117
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$30	40¢	0.0¢	-$30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$22	28¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$36	65¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	31¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$157

Culture+$16

World Cup+$13

Champions League-$3

Premier League-$2

La Liga-$2

Soccer (other)-$2

Economy+$1

Tech+$0

Biggest hit

+$105

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$30

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Recent moves

Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$452d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$103d ago
Bought Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$103d ago
Bought No · Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$103d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$43d ago
Sold Yes · Israeli election results in a hung parliament?$65d ago
Sold Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$655d ago
Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$39d ago
Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?$19d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?$19d ago
Bought No · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?$19d ago