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TheTurkishGoat

Predicting since Jan 2026121 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$14171¢94¢+$44
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19039¢32¢-$38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10075¢81¢+$9
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$7061¢81¢+$23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$11766¢43¢-$41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$5037¢52¢+$19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$7077¢60¢-$16
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsYes$4048¢34¢-$12
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?PoliticsYes$3248¢29¢-$13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$5049¢12¢-$38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1022¢24¢+$1
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$1357¢44¢-$3
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?PoliticsYes$737¢47¢+$2
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$1014¢12¢-$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1231¢16¢-$6
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsYes$711¢7.5¢-$2
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$528¢14¢-$3
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$310¢7.2¢-$1
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$15.3¢4.9¢-$0
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$115¢20¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$27.0¢4.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10669¢0.0¢-$106
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2068¢0.0¢-$20
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2323¢0.0¢-$23
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2535¢0.0¢-$25
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$8087¢0.0¢-$80
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3040¢0.0¢-$30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2228¢0.0¢-$22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3665¢0.0¢-$36
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$336
Culture+$16
World Cup+$13
Champions League-$3
Premier League-$2
La Liga-$2
Soccer (other)-$2
Economy+$1
Biggest hit
+$105
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$30
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$1173d ago
  • Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$1173d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$703d ago
  • Sold No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$703d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$683d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$26d ago
  • Sold No · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$97d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$327d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$4012d ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2913d ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$1113d ago