Tangerine

Predicting since May 202451 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.7K on Politics markets since May 2024.

Right now: $700 riding on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$100	16¢	0.0¢	-$100
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics	NoResolved	$173	34¢	0.0¢	-$173
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Politics	YesResolved	$36	12¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics	YesResolved	$550	34¢	0.0¢	-$550
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$304	19¢	0.0¢	-$304
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$700	42¢	0.0¢	-$700
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics	YesResolved	$40	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$130	63¢	0.0¢	-$130
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? Politics	NoResolved	$50	25¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?Tech	YesResolved	$4	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$31	31¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?Tech	NoResolved	$4	24¢	0.0¢	-$4
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$50	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	33¢	0.0¢	-$20
Democratic sweep?Politics	NoResolved	$20	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?Politics	YesResolved	$22	11¢	0.0¢	-$22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$20	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$100
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorBoxing	TateResolved	$20	77¢	0.0¢	-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.7K

Economy-$254

Tech+$47

Boxing-$20

Biggest hit

+$447

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Toughest beat

-$400

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$314mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$364mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$224mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$504mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5504mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1005mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$56mo ago
Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$206mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$7006mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1006mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$06mo ago