← Whale Watch

mfguap

Predicting since Nov 202527 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1056¢100¢+$8
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1017¢2.6¢-$8
Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?PoliticsYesResolved$63.7¢0.0¢-$6
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1417¢0.0¢-$14
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1231¢0.0¢-$12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1549¢0.0¢-$15
Will "Zootopia 2" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$36.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sentimental Value win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$588
Politics+$67
Biggest hit
+$310
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Toughest beat
-$17
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$1224mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7054mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$405mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$405mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$855mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$4406mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$46mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$06mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$16mo ago
  • Bought No · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$316mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$26mo ago