 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 1.4¢ | +$2 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?Economy | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 5.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Economy | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.0¢ | 8.3¢ | +$0 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?Economy | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Finance | Yes | $7 | 37¢ | 8.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 2.4¢ | -$7 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?Economy | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 1.8¢ | -$0 |
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $23 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World Cup | YesResolved | $90 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $60 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $16 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Cricket | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $150 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $8 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $150 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in May?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?$513h ago
Sold Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?$1523h ago