← Whale Watch

Moribundus

Predicting since Dec 2025142 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.2K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $2.7K riding on Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$3.8K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?CultureNo$2.7K82¢92¢+$364
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K71¢67¢-$76
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$90090¢97¢+$71
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$92592¢96¢+$38
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$87796¢97¢+$3
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?PoliticsNo$55389¢94¢+$31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?PoliticsNo$31059¢94¢+$183
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$40080¢84¢+$20
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?PoliticsNo$40293¢96¢+$11
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?PoliticsNo$18766¢92¢+$71
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?PoliticsNo$22495¢98¢+$6
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?PoliticsNo$13694¢96¢+$3
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?PoliticsNoResolved$16482¢0.0¢-$164
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3059¢0.0¢-$30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January?FinanceYesResolved$3737¢0.0¢-$37
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$227.0¢0.0¢-$22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12060¢0.0¢-$120
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?CultureYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6015¢0.0¢-$60
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$305.9¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$93.0¢0.0¢-$9
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?FinanceUpResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5314¢0.0¢-$53
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.5¢0.0¢-$5
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$21437¢0.0¢-$214
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$8643¢0.0¢-$86
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 1)MentionsNoResolved$4981¢0.0¢-$49
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1580¢0.0¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.2K
Culture+$611
Crypto-$62
Mentions-$49
World Cup-$30
Tech+$20
Finance-$10
Biggest hit
+$3.8K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$4.3K
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 16, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10612d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$31212d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?$9412d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$9712d ago
  • Sold No · OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$9212d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?$8912d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$612d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3112d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?$1812d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?$2812d ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?$19312d ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$24012d ago