Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $435 | 36¢ | 38¢ | +$13 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $438 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$35 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $97 | 37¢ | 76¢ | +$102 |
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $80 | 50¢ | 87¢ | +$58 |
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $49 | 18¢ | 37¢ | +$50 |
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $83 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$12 |
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 25¢ | 75¢ | +$50 |
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?Other | Yes | $73 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$6 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | No | $151 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$86 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 15¢ | 50¢ | +$31 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | No | $51 | 53¢ | 36¢ | -$16 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 39¢ | 64¢ | +$13 |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | No | $14 | 37¢ | 79¢ | +$15 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 51¢ | 44¢ | -$5 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $135 | 54¢ | 10¢ | -$109 |
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $51 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$28 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $14 | 3.0¢ | 4.8¢ | +$8 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $11 | 36¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?Politics | No | $59 | 23¢ | 5.7¢ | -$44 |
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $10 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 28¢ | 37¢ | +$2 |
Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 46¢ | 26¢ | -$7 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 26¢ | 4.5¢ | -$13 |
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?eSports | No | $1 | 40¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $12 | 42¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $323 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$323 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $55 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $72 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?Politics | NoResolved | $615 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$615 |
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $117 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $378 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$378 |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $245 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Tech | YesResolved | $99 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $61 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will Samuel Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $79 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $65 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $97 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Culture | NoResolved | $146 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $433 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$433 |
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $82 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $923 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$923 |
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Culture | NoResolved | $89 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $270 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$270 |
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $58 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $171 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$171 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?Culture | NoResolved | $56 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $504 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$504 |
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $229 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$229 |
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $391 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$391 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $35 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $64 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $830 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$830 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?Finance | NoResolved | $29 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $2.4K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $49 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $624 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$624 |
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $76 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?Tech | YesResolved | $130 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | NoResolved | $1.3K | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $44 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $735 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$735 |
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $79 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |