hasardeur

Predicting since Aug 2022111 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US recession in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$5	27¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?Economy	NoResolved	$24	58¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$11	8.4¢	0.0¢	-$11
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics	NoResolved	$25	15¢	0.0¢	-$25
Trump x Elon talk before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Mentions	NoResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Elon" this week?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	23¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$9	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?Politics	YesResolved	$1	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
USDT depeg in 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$5	11¢	0.0¢	-$5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	NoResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during the Fox News interview on July 12?Mentions	NoResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$1	23¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Other	NoResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$1	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the Fox News interview on July 12?Mentions	NoResolved	$1	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$51

Tennis+$27

Economy-$27

Boxing-$10

Mentions-$10

Other sports+$8

Other-$6

Crypto-$3

Culture-$2

Tech-$2

Premier League+$2

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$17

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Toughest beat

-$12

Will Donald Trump say "Crypto/Bitcoin" during his Michigan town hall?

Recent moves

Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$151y ago
Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$101y ago
Cashed out Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$461y ago
Cashed out Down · XRP Up or Down on August 15?$21y ago
Cashed out Down · Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?$61y ago
Cashed out No · Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?$241y ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$261y ago
Cashed out No · Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?$291y ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$91y ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$11y ago
Bought No · Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?$241y ago
Bought No · Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?$241y ago