← Whale Watch

Wickier

Predicting since Jul 2024966 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $139K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $221K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$88K on US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$116K76¢94¢+$27K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$108K82¢80¢-$2.7K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$48K88¢81¢-$3.8K
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.4K95¢100¢+$310
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$2.6K17¢43¢+$4.0K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.5K13¢25¢+$3.1K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.6K20¢44¢+$3.1K
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$5.2K76¢80¢+$222
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.2K91¢97¢+$277
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.3K41¢49¢+$418
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$37K12¢0.0¢-$37K
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1590.1¢0.0¢-$159
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7.7K6.8¢0.0¢-$7.7K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.4K65¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfYesResolved$6006.0¢0.0¢-$600
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$55423¢0.0¢-$554
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1590.1¢0.0¢-$159
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$17K8.8¢0.0¢-$17K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9.2K4.6¢0.0¢-$9.2K
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1590.1¢0.0¢-$159
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2502.5¢0.0¢-$250
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1590.1¢0.0¢-$159
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$860.1¢0.0¢-$86
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$7.8K5.5¢0.0¢-$7.8K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$68235¢0.0¢-$682
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K20¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?PoliticsYesResolved$21K19¢0.0¢-$21K
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfYesResolved$5.5K46¢0.0¢-$5.5K
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1590.1¢0.0¢-$159
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$2.8K9.5¢0.0¢-$2.8K
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$26K48¢0.0¢-$26K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?PoliticsNoResolved$8.6K10¢0.0¢-$8.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$135K16¢0.0¢-$135K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32K13¢0.0¢-$32K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$30K7.9¢0.0¢-$30K
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1590.1¢0.0¢-$159
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3333.8¢0.0¢-$333
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$7.8K44¢0.0¢-$7.8K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$7.6K5.0¢0.0¢-$7.6K
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$12K16¢0.0¢-$12K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$139K
Mentions+$52K
Culture+$42K
World Cup-$29K
Crypto-$8.8K
Tech-$6.6K
Golf-$6.3K
NFL+$2.6K
Economy+$2.4K
Finance-$1.9K
Premier League+$1.2K
Weather+$1.1K
Biggest hit
+$88K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Toughest beat
-$57K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$3.8K12m ago
  • Bought No · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$1.4K12m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$6052h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1.7K2h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$013h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.2K13h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.3K14h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$46514h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$48014h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$8614h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$114h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$66214h ago