← Whale Watch

oak

Predicting since Nov 20242,762 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?PoliticsYesResolved$010¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?EconomyYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$10031¢0.0¢-$100
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?CultureNoResolved$110.8¢0.0¢-$11
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$4738¢0.0¢-$47
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?TechNoResolved$012¢0.0¢-$0
Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsYesResolved$355.3¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$76.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$271.8¢0.0¢-$27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?PoliticsYesResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$010¢0.0¢-$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$03.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$121.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?TechYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?CryptoYesResolved$1416.5¢0.0¢-$141
Up Only podcast released by October 31?CryptoYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionPoliticsYesResolved$4912¢0.0¢-$49
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$464.2¢0.0¢-$46
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$113.0¢0.0¢-$11
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?NFLNoResolved$09.8¢0.0¢-$0
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?CryptoYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Will Solana reach $190 in November?CryptoYesResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?CryptoNoResolved$341.7¢0.0¢-$34
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?PoliticsNoResolved$510.8¢0.0¢-$51
Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$015¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?CultureYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Champions LeagueYesResolved$012¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$015¢0.0¢-$0
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?WeatherYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$05.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?TechYesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$05.3¢0.0¢-$0
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$1415¢0.0¢-$14
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?CryptoYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$08.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?TechYesResolved$014¢0.0¢-$0
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
North Korea missile launch by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$021¢0.0¢-$0
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?CryptoYesResolved$08.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?TechNoResolved$335.3¢0.0¢-$33
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $275 before 2026??FinanceYesResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?CryptoYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?CryptoYesResolved$02.4¢0.0¢-$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$171.2¢0.0¢-$17
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?WeatherYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.7¢0.0¢-$0
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$324¢0.0¢-$3
Over $15M committed to the VOOI public sale?CryptoYesResolved$574.1¢0.0¢-$57
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February?CryptoNoResolved$946.9¢0.0¢-$94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$70.6¢0.0¢-$7
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5NBAUnder 5.5Resolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?TechYesResolved$02.6¢0.0¢-$0
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoNoResolved$60.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$213.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?NFLYesResolved$010¢0.0¢-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?CultureNoResolved$753¢0.0¢-$7
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$90.7¢0.0¢-$9
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.4¢0.0¢-$1
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?CryptoNoResolved$03.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Base launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$02.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$05.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?CultureNoResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?PoliticsYesResolved$96.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$127.0¢0.0¢-$12
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$343.0¢0.0¢-$34
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$101.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?CryptoYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$152.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?CryptoNoResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Epstein client list released in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$04.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Champions LeagueNoResolved$426.4¢0.0¢-$42
Will Bally’s Corporation receive a license for Bally’s New York casino in The Bronx?TechNoResolved$14520¢0.0¢-$145
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?NBANoResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?CryptoNoResolved$62.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$412.6¢0.0¢-$41
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?CryptoYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$021¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?BoxingYesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?WeatherYesResolved$409.2¢0.0¢-$40
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?CryptoYesResolved$416¢0.0¢-$4
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
Will another person win the Defi App trading competition?CryptoYesResolved$12612¢0.0¢-$126

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$3.1K
NFL-$932
Culture+$400
Basketball (other)-$374
Crypto+$350
Other sports-$306
Champions League-$267
Finance+$188
College Football-$184
Tennis-$182
Economy+$180
NBA+$145
Biggest hit
+$527
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Toughest beat
-$403
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$02mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Stripe IPO before 2027?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$02mo ago