← Whale Watch

CapeCalibratedPM

Predicting since Jun 20267,669 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$517¢50¢+$10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$522¢57¢+$8
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$645¢98¢+$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1014¢18¢+$3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1083¢83¢+$0
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsNo$1345¢27¢-$5
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?NFLYes$1048¢32¢-$3
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$589¢99¢+$1
Will Kyle Schwarber lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?MLBYes$24.1¢8.3¢+$3
Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?MLBYes$142.8¢1.0¢-$9
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$460¢68¢+$1
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$785¢64¢-$2
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$483¢91¢+$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$216¢35¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$486¢87¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$485¢86¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$442¢34¢-$1
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$213¢17¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$278¢81¢+$0
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?PoliticsNo$290¢96¢+$0
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?MLBYes$814¢3.3¢-$6
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$214¢14¢-$0
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next?NFLYes$418¢9.5¢-$2
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?MLBYes$11.8¢3.0¢+$1
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$310¢6.0¢-$1
Will Ben Rice lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?MLBYes$46.4¢2.9¢-$2
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsNo$289¢77¢-$0
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next?NFLYes$00.2¢0.5¢+$1
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$162¢62¢+$0
Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$193¢99¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

MLB+$183
Crypto-$169
Tennis+$145
eSports+$120
Champions League-$58
Soccer (other)-$54
Politics+$49
NHL+$48
NBA+$30
Other sports+$26
Finance-$26
UFC / MMA+$25
Biggest hit
+$110
Knicks vs. Spurs
Toughest beat
-$51
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$05m ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$05m ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-26?$229m ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-26?$133m ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?$01h ago
  • Cashed out RE.Arise · Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner$01h ago
  • Cashed out Over · IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IK Sirius O/U 1.5$13h ago
  • Bought KW · Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner$23h ago
  • Cashed out Over · Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5$04h ago
  • Sold No · Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$15h ago
  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$15h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$15h ago