← Whale Watch

OverlookHotel

Predicting since Nov 2024304 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $94K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $23K riding on Trump out as President before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$43K on Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$23K17¢7.5¢-$13K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6.5K10.0¢8.5¢-$973
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyYes$2.2K20¢37¢+$1.8K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?EconomyYesResolved$99535¢100¢+$1.8K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyYes$3.7K19¢13¢-$1.3K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsNoResolved$39224¢100¢+$1.3K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsNoResolved$13527¢100¢+$365
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?EconomyYesResolved$17173¢100¢+$63
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?EconomyYes$69415¢4.2¢-$506
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$34244¢14¢-$228
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1020¢100¢+$40
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?EconomyYes$1189.8¢1.8¢-$96
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?EconomyYes$8712¢2.5¢-$69
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$319¢71¢+$9
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?EconomyYes$3312¢3.7¢-$22
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will 10-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?PoliticsYesResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$707.0¢0.0¢-$70
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?PoliticsYesResolved$6049.4¢0.0¢-$604
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$56430¢0.0¢-$564
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2074.1¢0.0¢-$207
Trump out as President by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$901.8¢0.0¢-$90
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$17315¢0.0¢-$173
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1314¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$94K
Economy-$6.3K
Other-$828
Culture-$63
Mentions-$10
Biggest hit
+$43K
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
Toughest beat
-$9.8K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?