 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $895 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$205 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $766 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$122 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $471 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$76 |
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Olympics | No | $470 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$19 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $253 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$47 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $258 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$42 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $178 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $166 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $130 | 65¢ | 92¢ | +$54 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $90 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $90 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Culture | NoResolved | $27 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$36 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $54 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $49 | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Politics | NoResolved | $47 | 47¢ | 50¢ | +$3 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $47 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech | No | $32 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | No | $160 | 80¢ | 17¢ | -$126 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 56¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $13 | 36¢ | 6.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $722 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$722 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $269 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$269 |
| Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $96 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?Culture | NoResolved | $215 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$215 |
| Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?Culture | YesResolved | $44 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $234 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$234 |
| Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $270 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$270 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $913 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$913 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $17 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?Culture | YesResolved | $45 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHL | YesResolved | $1 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $38 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $276 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$276 |
| Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?Mentions | NoResolved | $39 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |