Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9.9K | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$979 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8.1K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$382 |
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $6.3K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$56 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5.3K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$332 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $3.7K | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$532 |
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $3.4K | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$293 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5.1K | 87¢ | 64¢ | -$1.4K |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $3.7K | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$534 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $2.6K | 61¢ | 79¢ | +$761 |
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2.1K | 47¢ | 65¢ | +$776 |
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2.3K | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$139 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $2.3K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$41 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$433 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $1.7K | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$119 |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 62¢ | 76¢ | +$276 |
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.3K | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$152 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1.2K | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$213 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$60 |
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$128 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$69 |
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $930 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$57 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $749 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$189 |
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $800 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$125 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $910 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 85¢ | 68¢ | -$225 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 73¢ | 42¢ | -$663 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $636 | 64¢ | 87¢ | +$229 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $939 | 91¢ | 83¢ | -$83 |
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $488 | 61¢ | 77¢ | +$128 |
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $604 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$28 |
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $325 | 65¢ | 80¢ | +$75 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $357 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$36 |
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $239 | 48¢ | 77¢ | +$144 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?Economy | Yes | $335 | 81¢ | 72¢ | -$36 |
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Economy | Yes | $242 | 71¢ | 67¢ | -$15 |
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $174 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$13 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $220 | 77¢ | 63¢ | -$42 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $158 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Economy | Yes | $103 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $181 | 67¢ | 39¢ | -$76 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?Politics | Yes | $88 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Politics | No | $73 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $70 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $47 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision?Politics | No | $43 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $35 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $38 | 43¢ | 27¢ | -$14 |
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $46 | 55¢ | 28¢ | -$22 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $13 | 21¢ | 34¢ | +$8 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $12 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Economy | Yes | $4 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $923 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$923 |
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $61 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $373 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$373 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $27 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | YesResolved | $207 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$207 |
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $249 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$249 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $1.1K | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $938 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$938 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?Crypto | NoResolved | $83 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $47 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | YesResolved | $661 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$661 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $1.8K | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.1% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?Economy | YesResolved | $13 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?Finance | NoResolved | $632 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$632 |
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?Economy | YesResolved | $203 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$203 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $31 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?Economy | YesResolved | $73 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $528 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$528 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $413 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$413 |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?Economy | YesResolved | $22 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $147 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $54 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?Crypto | NoResolved | $208 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$208 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?Crypto | NoResolved | $87 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?Economy | YesResolved | $160 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $650 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$650 |
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?Economy | YesResolved | $19 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $93 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?Economy | YesResolved | $17 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?Crypto | NoResolved | $66 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $380 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$380 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?Crypto | NoResolved | $566 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$566 |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $98 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Crypto | NoResolved | $330 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $240 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?Crypto | NoResolved | $112 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $75 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $89 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $102 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be less than or equal to 1.7%?Economy | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |