← Whale Watch

MKB

Predicting since Oct 20231,298 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.3K on World Cup markets since Oct 2023.

Right now: $3.9K across 13 World Cup markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$53464¢46¢-$155
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherNo$47379¢59¢-$123
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$25886¢100¢+$42
Will Remco Evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$15477¢91¢+$28
Will Remco Evenepoel finish 2nd in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$10080¢99¢+$24
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$6464¢74¢+$11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$11426¢11¢-$65
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1313¢43¢+$30
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?WeatherNo$3566¢78¢+$6
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?PoliticsNo$3998¢98¢+$0
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherNo$14323¢5.5¢-$109
Will Per Strand Hagenes finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$2498¢100¢+$0
Will Anthony Turgis finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1998¢100¢+$0
Will Julius van den Berg finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1898¢100¢+$0
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$92326¢0.4¢-$907
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be <1 minute?Other sportsNo$1598¢100¢+$0
Will Marco Haller finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1598¢100¢+$0
Will Silvan Dillier finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1598¢100¢+$0
Will Niklas Märkl finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1498¢100¢+$0
Will Nicolas Prodhomme finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1498¢100¢+$0
Will Raúl García Pierna finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1498¢100¢+$0
Will Nicolas Breuillard finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1298¢100¢+$0
Will Kamil Gradek finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1098¢100¢+$0
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?Other sportsNo$1098¢100¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1096¢99¢+$0
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?WeatherYes$36.0¢16¢+$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$993¢83¢-$1
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?WeatherYes$00.9¢17¢+$8
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$3254¢12¢-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2323¢3.5¢-$19
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?WeatherYes$221.0¢0.1¢-$19
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?WeatherYes$10.8¢4.5¢+$2
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1239¢7.5¢-$9
Will Alveiro Cepeda finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$298¢100¢+$0
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sportsYes$9494¢1.8¢-$92
Will Isaac del Toro finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$550¢15¢-$4
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$32.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1913¢0.0¢-$19
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$6363¢0.0¢-$63
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$880.8¢0.0¢-$88
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsNoResolved$1273¢0.0¢-$12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$17043¢0.0¢-$170
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie AYesResolved$1386¢0.0¢-$13
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4343¢0.0¢-$43
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2521¢0.0¢-$25
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$722.6¢0.0¢-$72
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$5113¢0.0¢-$51
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$8690.9¢0.0¢-$869
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1801.8¢0.0¢-$180
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsNoResolved$5041¢0.0¢-$50
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?WeatherNoResolved$48781¢0.0¢-$487
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie ANoResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Champions LeagueNoResolved$7697¢0.0¢-$76
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11137¢0.0¢-$111
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$70.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5570.7¢0.0¢-$557
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$4488¢0.0¢-$44
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$5353¢0.0¢-$53
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$702.3¢0.0¢-$70
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.3K0.9¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Premier LeagueYesResolved$24.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?WeatherYesResolved$36.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?FinanceNoResolved$3737¢0.0¢-$37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1343¢0.0¢-$13
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3521¢0.0¢-$35
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4848¢0.0¢-$48
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$2272¢0.0¢-$22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$733¢0.0¢-$7
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$600.6¢0.0¢-$60
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1672.9¢0.0¢-$167
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2111.0¢0.0¢-$211
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$15.2¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Premier LeagueYesResolved$943¢0.0¢-$9
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYesResolved$4634¢0.0¢-$46
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2212¢0.0¢-$22
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$1484¢0.0¢-$14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$12060¢0.0¢-$120
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1622.2¢0.0¢-$162
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.6m & 14.8m square kilometers?WeatherYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier LeagueYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1160¢0.0¢-$11
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?World CupYesResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?WeatherYesResolved$4623¢0.0¢-$46
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?WeatherYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?EconomyNoResolved$879¢0.0¢-$8
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$500.5¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$3.3K
Politics+$3.1K
Weather-$2.4K
Other sports+$1.2K
Tech+$529
Soccer (other)+$445
Finance+$347
Olympics-$274
Champions League+$208
Economy+$175
Serie A-$160
NBA+$148
Biggest hit
+$735
Tour de France 2025: Will 145+ riders finish?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
2025 September second hottest on record?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Pascal Ackermann finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$2414h ago
  • Bought No · Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?$201d ago
  • Bought No · Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?$201d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Einer Rubio finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$251d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?$941d ago
  • Bought No · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?$101d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Remco Evenepoel finish 2nd in the 2026 Tour De France?$1011d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lars Craps finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$104d ago
  • Bought No · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be <1 minute?$154d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?$15d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?$15d ago