Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $534 | 64¢ | 46¢ | -$155 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $473 | 79¢ | 59¢ | -$123 |
| Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | Yes | $258 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$42 |
Will Remco Evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | Yes | $154 | 77¢ | 91¢ | +$28 |
| Will Remco Evenepoel finish 2nd in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | Yes | $100 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$24 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $64 | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$11 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $114 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$65 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 43¢ | +$30 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Weather | No | $35 | 66¢ | 78¢ | +$6 |
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?Politics | No | $39 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Weather | No | $143 | 23¢ | 5.5¢ | -$109 |
Will Per Strand Hagenes finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $24 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthony Turgis finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $19 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Julius van den Berg finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $18 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $923 | 26¢ | 0.4¢ | -$907 |
| Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be <1 minute?Other sports | No | $15 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Marco Haller finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $15 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Silvan Dillier finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $15 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Niklas Märkl finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $14 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Nicolas Prodhomme finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $14 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Raúl García Pierna finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $14 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Nicolas Breuillard finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $12 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Kamil Gradek finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $10 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?Other sports | No | $10 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 16¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.9¢ | 17¢ | +$8 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $32 | 54¢ | 12¢ | -$25 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $23 | 23¢ | 3.5¢ | -$19 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Weather | Yes | $22 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$19 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 4.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 39¢ | 7.5¢ | -$9 |
Will Alveiro Cepeda finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sports | Yes | $94 | 94¢ | 1.8¢ | -$92 |
Will Isaac del Toro finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $5 | 50¢ | 15¢ | -$4 |
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $3 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $19 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $88 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 3%?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics | NoResolved | $170 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie A | YesResolved | $13 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $43 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $72 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $51 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $869 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$869 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $180 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?Weather | NoResolved | $487 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$487 |
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie A | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Champions League | NoResolved | $76 | 97¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $111 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $557 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$557 |
| Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $70 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1.3K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $29 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Premier League | YesResolved | $2 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $37 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $48 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $60 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $167 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$167 |
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $28 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $211 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$211 |
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Premier League | YesResolved | $9 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $46 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $22 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $162 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$162 |
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.6m & 14.8m square kilometers?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier League | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $11 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $46 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?Economy | NoResolved | $8 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |