← Whale Watch

Nifty-Applause

Predicting since Nov 2020331 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $23K on Other markets since Nov 2020.

Right now: $23K riding on Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?.

Biggest hit: +$29K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$408.0¢100¢+$460
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsNoResolved$26382¢100¢+$57
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsNoResolved$19689¢100¢+$24
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsYes$2475.9¢2.1¢-$158
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsNoResolved$7094¢100¢+$5
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$6868¢51¢-$18
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$26162¢10¢-$219
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$2496¢96¢-$0
Kings vs. PanthersNHLKingsResolved$443¢0.0¢-$4
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu GuoTennisGuoResolved$61677¢0.0¢-$616
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1325¢0.0¢-$13
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?TechYesResolved$7277¢0.0¢-$72
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$1428¢0.0¢-$14
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$46135¢0.0¢-$461
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?MentionsYesResolved$18319¢0.0¢-$183
Epstein client list released in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$14324¢0.0¢-$143
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?EconomyYesResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$4010.0¢0.0¢-$40
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$36752¢0.0¢-$367
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1150¢0.0¢-$11
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?PoliticsYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$37459¢0.0¢-$374
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$13513¢0.0¢-$135
Devils vs. Golden KnightsNHLGolden KnightsResolved$663¢0.0¢-$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$515.1¢0.0¢-$51
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11065¢0.0¢-$110
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?BoxingNoResolved$79390¢0.0¢-$793
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$47372¢0.0¢-$473
Solana Up or Down - December 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10541¢0.0¢-$105
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$32.5¢0.0¢-$3
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1225¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$569¢0.0¢-$5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnereSportsTop EsportsResolved$34636¢0.0¢-$346
Utah vs. Red WingsNHLRed WingsResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5010.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?CultureYesResolved$1007.2¢0.0¢-$100
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?CultureYesResolved$285.0¢0.0¢-$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$27929¢0.0¢-$279
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$53244¢0.0¢-$532
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2.1K67¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2.0K47¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 8 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?PoliticsYesResolved$594¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?MentionsYesResolved$1.5K91¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Trump say "Country music" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?MentionsNoResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$74247¢0.0¢-$742
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$6048¢0.0¢-$60
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?OtherYesResolved$23K36¢0.0¢-$23K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$21042¢0.0¢-$210
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2613¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times at the Kennedy Center Honors event?MentionsYesResolved$1752¢0.0¢-$17
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?PoliticsYesResolved$24.1¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$53.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?EconomyYesResolved$2249¢0.0¢-$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10731¢0.0¢-$107
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$334.9¢0.0¢-$33
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7931¢0.0¢-$79
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria MbokoTennisEalaResolved$1.3K51¢0.0¢-$1.3K
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$58084¢0.0¢-$580
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$29821¢0.0¢-$298
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?PoliticsNoResolved$3060¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnereSportsTop EsportsResolved$63063¢0.0¢-$630
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?NFLNoResolved$5066¢0.0¢-$50
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K42¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?PoliticsNoResolved$24862¢0.0¢-$248
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Ravens vs. SteelersNFLRavensResolved$69069¢0.0¢-$690
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2.8K49¢0.0¢-$2.8K
XRP Up or Down - December 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?Premier LeagueYesResolved$5.5K65¢0.0¢-$5.5K
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$508.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$60.2¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$3.4K11¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia ZakharovaTennisZakharovaResolved$73073¢0.0¢-$730
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K91¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ETCryptoUpResolved$23147¢0.0¢-$231
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12429¢0.0¢-$124
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9557¢0.0¢-$95
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7PM ETCryptoDownResolved$58434¢0.0¢-$584

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Other-$23K
Politics+$16K
Premier League-$5.5K
eSports+$3.4K
Tennis-$1.9K
Mentions-$1.7K
Boxing-$793
NFL-$740
Crypto-$739
NBA+$306
Tech-$284
Culture-$85
Biggest hit
+$29K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$4.2K
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$433mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1003mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1893mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$2003mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$2023mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$5.2K3mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$45K3mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?$2045mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$2005mo ago
  • Bought No · Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?$2005mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$885mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$7125mo ago