El-popo

Predicting since Jun 2026273 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Politics	Yes	$161	90¢	93¢	+$5
Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat?Politics	No	$159	94¢	96¢	+$3
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$159	92¢	94¢	+$3
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?Politics	Yes	$159	94¢	94¢	+$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?Politics	No	$156	94¢	96¢	+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?Politics	No	$159	95¢	95¢	-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?Politics	No	$159	95¢	95¢	-$1
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?Politics	Yes	$159	94¢	94¢	-$1
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics	No	$144	87¢	93¢	+$9
Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Politics	No	$133	94¢	96¢	+$2
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Politics	Yes	$123	62¢	68¢	+$12
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech	No	$106	79¢	92¢	+$17
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics	No	$106	85¢	91¢	+$7
Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?Politics	No	$110	94¢	97¢	+$3
Jonathan Majors as Kang?Culture	No	$105	87¢	93¢	+$7
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Politics	Yes	$92	86¢	86¢	-$1
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Politics	Yes	$80	93¢	95¢	+$1
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?Politics	Yes	$79	92¢	95¢	+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat?Politics	No	$79	94¢	96¢	+$1
Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?Politics	Yes	$78	94¢	95¢	+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?Politics	No	$63	95¢	96¢	+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-11 House seat?Politics	No	$63	94¢	95¢	+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$51	98¢	99¢	+$1
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$51	97¢	98¢	+$0
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$49	98¢	99¢	+$1
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$51	97¢	94¢	-$2
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Politics	No	$47	92¢	96¢	+$2
Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics	No	$51	98¢	89¢	-$5
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Politics	No	$39	97¢	99¢	+$1
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics	No	$33	97¢	100¢	+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Politics	No	$25	90¢	88¢	-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?Politics	No	$15	83¢	88¢	+$1
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics	No	$5	98¢	99¢	+$0
Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?Politics	Yes	$4	75¢	99¢	+$1
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics	No	$5	97¢	93¢	-$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$4	87¢	82¢	-$0
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World Cup	SpainResolved	$1	98¢	100¢	+$0
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$8	33¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?Politics	YesResolved	$3	37¢	0.0¢	-$3
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$51	97¢	0.0¢	-$51
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$5	35¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$153

World Cup+$43

Tech+$28

Economy-$14

Culture+$12

Crypto+$11

Golf+$8

Weather+$7

Champions League-$5

Soccer (other)+$5

eSports+$4

Other sports+$2

Biggest hit

+$41

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$123

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$3123h ago
Cashed out No · Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?$3723h ago
Cashed out No · Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?$5223h ago
Bought No · Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?$1602d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?$522d ago
Sold No · Will New People (NL) win between 75 and 84 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$785d ago
Bought No · Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?$1595d ago
Bought Yes · Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?$46d ago
Cashed out No · Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?$146d ago
Cashed out No · Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 40 and 43 inclusive?$526d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?$446d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?$1598d ago