 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $413 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $253 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$27 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $244 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $139 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | No | $196 | 31¢ | 21¢ | -$65 |
 Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $112 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 11¢ | 36¢ | +$75 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $102 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Politics | Yes | $106 | 41¢ | 36¢ | -$12 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 43¢ | 60¢ | +$24 |
 Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | No | $208 | 33¢ | 14¢ | -$124 |
 Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?eSports | No | $90 | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$7 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $83 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $75 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$7 |
 Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Politics | No | $75 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $72 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$5 |
 Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | Yes | $151 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$77 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 12?Weather | No | $66 | 30¢ | 33¢ | +$7 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Tech | No | $50 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?Weather | No | $52 | 38¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
 Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 51¢ | 73¢ | +$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $38 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$8 |
 Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $51 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$6 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $37 | 60¢ | 71¢ | +$7 |
 Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Politics | No | $50 | 31¢ | 27¢ | -$7 |
 Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $107 | 36¢ | 14¢ | -$66 |
 Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier PlayoffseSports | Sinners | $40 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $37 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 PlayoffseSports | Any Questions Gaming | $33 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
 Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $63 | 21¢ | 12¢ | -$29 |
| Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $32 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $45 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$13 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $34 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 12?Weather | No | $27 | 61¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
 Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $22 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
 Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | No | $24 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Basketball (other) | No | $28 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $54 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$32 |
| Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $18 | 6.9¢ | 7.8¢ | +$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 12?Weather | No | $19 | 49¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | No | $18 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
 Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $21 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | No | $21 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?eSports | Yes | $19 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$4 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $11 | 2.3¢ | 3.4¢ | +$5 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 12?Weather | No | $14 | 59¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $26 | 8.0¢ | 4.7¢ | -$11 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Politics | No | $13 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Crypto | Yes | $13 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Tech | Yes | $65 | 22¢ | 3.5¢ | -$55 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 21¢ | 8.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $14 | 26¢ | 16¢ | -$5 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 8.0¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $13 | 4.3¢ | 2.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Politics | Yes | $4 | 31¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $7 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?Economy | No | $6 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $18 | 15¢ | 5.5¢ | -$11 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | No | $9 | 4.3¢ | 2.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 11?Weather | No | $5 | 48¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Politics | No | $3 | 33¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | No | $4 | 57¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 4.9¢ | 2.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 56¢ | 54¢ | -$0 |
 Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 7.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Crypto | No | $3 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPolitics | Something | $10 | 23¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $3 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $46 | 11¢ | 0.5¢ | -$44 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $34 | 4.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$33 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | Yes | $12 | 29¢ | 2.9¢ | -$11 |
 Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 56¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Sold Yes · Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$31h ago