← Whale Watch

rocky42002

Predicting since Jun 20257,181 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.7K on Crypto markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $956 across 10 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$27748¢50¢+$11
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureNo$21978¢81¢+$10
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureNo$21118¢20¢+$12
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$28726¢19¢-$80
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$20769¢63¢-$18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$19223¢23¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?WeatherNo$17568¢63¢-$14
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?CultureNo$19631¢24¢-$46
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$16229¢27¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$13362¢62¢-$2
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$12488¢89¢+$1
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$12723¢22¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 26?WeatherNo$11876¢75¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 26?WeatherNo$9995¢99¢+$4
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$8251¢50¢-$3
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$25422¢6.5¢-$180
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$4763¢98¢+$26
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherNo$17219¢7.0¢-$109
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$637.6¢7.4¢-$2
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung LionsBaseball (other)Lotte Giants$5118¢21¢+$6
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureYes$10010.0¢5.5¢-$45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsYes$16749¢16¢-$112
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5289¢93¢+$2
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$4214¢18¢+$10
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsYes$9331¢18¢-$41
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$4938¢40¢+$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsYes$8127¢17¢-$31
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$9130¢14¢-$50
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$9030¢13¢-$51
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?TechYes$3440¢43¢+$3
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$514.1¢2.9¢-$15
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6321¢12¢-$28
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$6020¢11¢-$29
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsYes$3311¢11¢-$2
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYes$2817¢18¢+$1
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $38B?FinanceNo$8021¢7.3¢-$52
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$2114¢18¢+$6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$12140¢9.0¢-$94
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYes$2713¢13¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?WeatherNo$2272¢81¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?WeatherYes$4315¢8.5¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2515¢14¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$278.9¢7.6¢-$4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsYes$6722¢7.5¢-$45
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYes$4122¢12¢-$19
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?PoliticsYes$3111¢7.5¢-$10
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$2081¢83¢+$0
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1813¢14¢+$2
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$5318¢6.5¢-$33
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$2322¢19¢-$4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$124.0¢5.5¢+$5
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$1694¢94¢-$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$1493¢95¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?WeatherYes$1243¢46¢+$1
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$5519¢4.0¢-$43
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$1236¢27¢-$3
Exact Score: NK Celje 3 - 1 KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë?Champions LeagueYes$1012¢11¢-$1
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?EconomyNo$930¢29¢-$0
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?CryptoYes$2219¢7.1¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 27?WeatherYes$710¢11¢+$0
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$268.0¢2.3¢-$18
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$611¢13¢+$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$4816¢2.1¢-$42
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?WeatherYes$3615¢2.5¢-$30
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsYes$13848¢1.9¢-$133
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$776.1¢0.4¢-$72
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?WeatherYes$725¢19¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsYes$18058¢1.4¢-$175
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?PoliticsYes$62.2¢1.6¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?WeatherNo$454¢55¢+$0
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPoliticsSomething$1023¢8.3¢-$6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$213.5¢0.5¢-$18
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$40.7¢0.6¢-$1
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by July 31?FinanceYes$4018¢1.4¢-$37
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$264¢87¢+$1
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$103.4¢0.9¢-$8
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYes$111¢19¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 26?WeatherYes$36.0¢4.0¢-$1
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsYes$27.0¢7.0¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$260¢84¢+$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$920¢4.6¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 27?WeatherYes$227¢28¢+$0
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$101.3¢0.1¢-$8
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?PoliticsNo$01.6¢3.8¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$2.7K
Culture+$2.6K
MLS+$845
Politics-$587
Weather+$568
Soccer (other)+$513
Economy+$494
Formula 1-$491
MLB+$461
Tennis+$283
Tech-$271
Mentions-$153
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Toughest beat
-$400
Wimbledon: Rune vs. Jarry

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 27?$17m ago
  • Cashed out 3DMAX · Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)$09m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?$436m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?$136m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?$238m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?$3539m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?$1043m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 27?$71h ago
  • Bought No · Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?$61h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$711h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?$21h ago
  • Bought No · Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1191h ago