Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $277 | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$11 |
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $219 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$10 |
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $211 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$12 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $287 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$80 |
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | Yes | $207 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$18 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $192 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?Weather | No | $175 | 68¢ | 63¢ | -$14 |
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | No | $196 | 31¢ | 24¢ | -$46 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $162 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$14 |
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 27?Weather | No | $133 | 62¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $124 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $127 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 26?Weather | No | $118 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 26?Weather | No | $99 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $82 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$3 |
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $254 | 22¢ | 6.5¢ | -$180 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | No | $47 | 63¢ | 98¢ | +$26 |
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | No | $172 | 19¢ | 7.0¢ | -$109 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 7.6¢ | 7.4¢ | -$2 |
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung LionsBaseball (other) | Lotte Giants | $51 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture | Yes | $100 | 10.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$45 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | Yes | $167 | 49¢ | 16¢ | -$112 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $42 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$10 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | Yes | $93 | 31¢ | 18¢ | -$41 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $49 | 38¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | Yes | $81 | 27¢ | 17¢ | -$31 |
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $91 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$50 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $90 | 30¢ | 13¢ | -$51 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $34 | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $51 | 4.1¢ | 2.9¢ | -$15 |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 21¢ | 12¢ | -$28 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | Yes | $60 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$29 |
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $28 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $38B?Finance | No | $80 | 21¢ | 7.3¢ | -$52 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?Politics | No | $21 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$6 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Politics | Yes | $121 | 40¢ | 9.0¢ | -$94 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $27 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?Weather | No | $22 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $43 | 15¢ | 8.5¢ | -$19 |
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $25 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 8.9¢ | 7.6¢ | -$4 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | Yes | $67 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | -$45 |
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $41 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$19 |
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Politics | Yes | $31 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $20 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $53 | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | -$33 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | No | $23 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 4.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$5 |
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | No | $16 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $14 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $12 | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $55 | 19¢ | 4.0¢ | -$43 |
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $12 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
| Exact Score: NK Celje 3 - 1 KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë?Champions League | Yes | $10 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | No | $9 | 30¢ | 29¢ | -$0 |
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $22 | 19¢ | 7.1¢ | -$14 |
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $26 | 8.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$18 |
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $6 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 2.1¢ | -$42 |
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $36 | 15¢ | 2.5¢ | -$30 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | Yes | $138 | 48¢ | 1.9¢ | -$133 |
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $77 | 6.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$72 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $7 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Politics | Yes | $180 | 58¢ | 1.4¢ | -$175 |
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.2¢ | 1.6¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?Weather | No | $4 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPolitics | Something | $10 | 23¢ | 8.3¢ | -$6 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $21 | 3.5¢ | 0.5¢ | -$18 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $40 | 18¢ | 1.4¢ | -$37 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $2 | 64¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$8 |
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1 |
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | No | $2 | 60¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $9 | 20¢ | 4.6¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $2 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$8 |
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $0 | 1.6¢ | 3.8¢ | +$1 |