← Whale Watch

BSS37

Predicting since Dec 202516,304 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$88.0¢62¢+$54
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?CryptoNo$139.8¢44¢+$46
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$87.0¢40¢+$37
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?NFLYes$44.0¢42¢+$38
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?CryptoYes$88.0¢36¢+$28
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?PoliticsYes$00.3¢27¢+$32
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$24.0¢74¢+$28
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$00.7¢48¢+$28
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launchCryptoYes$1010¢28¢+$18
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$00.3¢24¢+$24
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$147.0¢12¢+$10
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?PoliticsYes$00.4¢39¢+$24
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?EconomyYes$99.0¢22¢+$13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$127.6¢13¢+$8
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$23.9¢40¢+$18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$1010¢18¢+$8
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$66.0¢18¢+$12
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?CultureYes$55.0¢18¢+$13
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?CryptoYes$12.0¢25¢+$16
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoYes$67.0¢21¢+$11
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1010¢17¢+$7
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$1010¢17¢+$7
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$136.3¢8.0¢+$3
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?TechYes$44.0¢15¢+$11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$64.9¢12¢+$8
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYes$1010¢14¢+$4
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1010¢14¢+$4
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsYes$139.9¢11¢+$1
Ledger IPO before 2027?TechYes$138.0¢8.5¢+$1
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?PoliticsYes$00.3¢12¢+$13
Will the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat?PoliticsNo$168.0¢6.5¢-$3
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?EconomyYes$158.0¢6.5¢-$3
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?CryptoYes$1010.0¢12¢+$2
Will The Weeknd be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?CultureYes$49.0¢23¢+$7
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$147.0¢5.5¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$126.0¢5.5¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$126.0¢5.5¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$126.0¢5.5¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$168.0¢5.3¢-$5
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?TechYes$33.0¢11¢+$8
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsYes$1010¢11¢+$1
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?CultureNo$55.0¢11¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$157.9¢5.5¢-$5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$66.3¢10¢+$4
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$74.4¢6.2¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the KS-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$138.5¢6.5¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the IN-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$149.3¢6.5¢-$4
Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$149.3¢6.5¢-$4
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$149.3¢6.5¢-$4
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?PoliticsYes$66.0¢9.5¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$148.0¢5.5¢-$4
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$87.9¢9.9¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$117.6¢6.5¢-$2
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?PoliticsYes$55.0¢9.5¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$119.0¢7.5¢-$2
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsYes$189.0¢4.5¢-$9
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?PoliticsYes$67.0¢11¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$158.4¢5.0¢-$6
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$43.6¢8.8¢+$5
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?PoliticsYes$138.0¢5.5¢-$4
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?PoliticsYes$107.0¢6.3¢-$1
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?PoliticsYes$22.1¢8.2¢+$6
Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$1010¢8.5¢-$2
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$32.6¢8.3¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$75.5¢6.5¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?PoliticsYes$76.7¢8.2¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the OR-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$119.0¢6.5¢-$3
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?WeatherYes$116.3¢4.5¢-$3
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$99.0¢8.0¢-$1
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?TechYes$99.0¢8.0¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?PoliticsYes$147.0¢4.0¢-$6
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsYes$75.5¢6.8¢+$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$44.0¢7.8¢+$4
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$32.6¢8.0¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$99.0¢7.5¢-$2
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechYes$33.0¢7.5¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$88.0¢7.5¢-$1
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$99.0¢7.5¢-$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechYes$1010¢7.5¢-$3
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoYes$64.2¢5.0¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$67.3¢9.0¢+$1
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$95.4¢4.6¢-$1
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?TechYes$104.9¢3.6¢-$3
Will Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$1010.0¢7.2¢-$3
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$45.0¢9.5¢+$3
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$12.6¢37¢+$7
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?Other sportsYes$67.0¢8.1¢+$1
Canva IPO before 2027?TechYes$149.0¢4.5¢-$7
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$66.0¢7.0¢+$1
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$159.5¢4.5¢-$8
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?PoliticsYes$00.3¢5.7¢+$6
Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?PoliticsYes$96.3¢4.5¢-$3
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?EconomyYes$44.0¢6.8¢+$3
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsNo$2010¢3.4¢-$13
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsYes$64.2¢4.8¢+$1
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?TechYes$55.0¢6.5¢+$2
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?PoliticsYes$44.0¢6.6¢+$3
Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$14.0¢28¢+$6
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$99.0¢6.5¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢6.5¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$304
Crypto-$158
Economy+$57
Tech+$45
NFL+$38
Culture-$35
Weather-$23
Mentions-$11
Other+$7
Olympics-$5
Boxing+$1
Golf-$0
Biggest hit
+$94
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 19 be less than 2,250,000?
Toughest beat
-$20
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 14?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$445m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$23h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?$05h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026?$06h ago
  • Sold Yes · Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$08h ago
  • Sold Yes · Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$18h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$015h ago
  • Sold Yes · Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$517h ago
  • Sold Yes · EU dissolves before 2027?$120h ago
  • Sold Yes · EU dissolves before 2027?$020h ago
  • Sold Yes · Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?$1121h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$11d ago