← Whale Watch

20YrsOfBoredom

Predicting since Jul 20241,832 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.8K on Culture markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $57K riding on Iran leadership change by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$57K83¢80¢-$2.4K
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.0K64¢70¢+$376
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.7K79¢81¢+$60
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.0K56¢56¢+$15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.4K57¢56¢-$18
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?CultureYes$1.8K73¢95¢+$530
Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$1.4K46¢60¢+$419
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.6K54¢56¢+$74
Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$1.3K53¢61¢+$194
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYes$91734¢50¢+$400
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$99054¢66¢+$226
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K78¢79¢+$7
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$72128¢42¢+$362
Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$1.1K69¢66¢-$42
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureYes$67833¢42¢+$163
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$77187¢91¢+$38
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$55224¢27¢+$79
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?CultureYes$59957¢55¢-$13
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?CultureYes$45267¢61¢-$45
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?CultureYes$32138¢42¢+$35
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$33084¢87¢+$12
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?CultureYes$31857¢62¢+$25
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$13511¢23¢+$152
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$28918¢18¢-$4
Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$41336¢24¢-$133
Will Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$16610¢16¢+$98
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$32740¢27¢-$105
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$17850¢57¢+$25
Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?CultureYes$8213¢29¢+$104
Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$17492¢95¢+$6
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$14464¢75¢+$24
Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$16450¢49¢-$4
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?CultureYes$14822¢23¢+$6
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?CultureNo$5314¢39¢+$95
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$14943¢42¢-$4
Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$12028¢30¢+$8
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?CultureYes$10381¢90¢+$11
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$10936¢38¢+$5
Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?CultureNo$13367¢56¢-$21
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureNo$9360¢70¢+$16
Will the Los Angeles Sparks make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?Basketball (other)No$10983¢81¢-$3
Will Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$10712¢11¢-$4
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$12146¢38¢-$22
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureNo$8175¢74¢-$1
Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$6135¢44¢+$16
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$7035¢34¢-$3
Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$8765¢50¢-$20
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?CultureYes$6711¢11¢-$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$5976¢80¢+$3
Will Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$6711¢10¢-$6
Will Zendaya – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?CultureYes$336.5¢8.4¢+$10
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?CultureYes$3612¢12¢-$0
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$22416¢2.5¢-$188
Will Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$6713¢6.6¢-$32
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$2675¢98¢+$8
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$5316¢8.7¢-$24
Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$3611¢8.8¢-$8
Will Tal Anderson – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$5017¢9.2¢-$22
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Basketball (other)No$3534¢26¢-$9
Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$415.5¢3.2¢-$17
Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureYes$2015¢16¢+$1
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)Yes$2516¢11¢-$8
Will Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$5017¢5.3¢-$34
Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?CultureNo$1491¢97¢+$1
Will Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$152.9¢2.5¢-$2
Will Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureYes$125.6¢5.8¢+$0
Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$126.7¢6.7¢-$0
Will the Minnesota Lynx make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?Basketball (other)Yes$1196¢97¢+$0
Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?CultureYes$1155¢52¢-$1
Will Brett Goldstein – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$10.5¢3.3¢+$8
Will “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?CultureYes$72.0¢2.8¢+$3
Will Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$86.4¢7.5¢+$1
Will “RuPaul’s Drag Race” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?CultureYes$128.6¢6.4¢-$3
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$167.3¢3.7¢-$8
Will Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$64.8¢5.5¢+$1
Will Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?CultureYes$11.7¢10¢+$6
Will Cherry Jones – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$21.9¢4.3¢+$3
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas WingsOther sportsDallas Wings$553¢51¢-$0
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?CultureNo$363¢97¢+$2
Will Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?CultureYes$35.0¢7.1¢+$1
Will Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$30.6¢0.7¢+$1
Will Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$20.8¢1.3¢+$1
Will Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$30.8¢0.8¢-$0
Will Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$11.2¢3.6¢+$2
Will Claire Danes – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$73.5¢1.4¢-$4
Will Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$57.9¢3.7¢-$3
Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?CultureYes$513¢6.7¢-$2
Will Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$31.4¢1.2¢-$0
Will Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?CultureYes$10.4¢0.9¢+$1
Will Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$11.5¢4.4¢+$1
Will Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureYes$15.5¢8.3¢+$1
Will Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$01.3¢5.1¢+$1
Will Justin Gaethje win the award for Best Fighter at the 2026 ESPY Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$12879¢0.0¢-$128

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Culture+$1.8K
Politics-$987
Mentions+$610
Tech+$320
Other sports-$124
Crypto+$116
MLB-$56
Olympics-$39
Basketball (other)-$25
Finance-$20
NFL-$19
Other-$10
Biggest hit
+$670
Will Trump say "unrealized" during California rally on October 12?
Toughest beat
-$406
Kamala Harris solo interview before debate?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$299m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?$245h ago
  • Sold No · Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$55h ago
  • Sold No · Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$885h ago
  • Sold No · Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$395h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$15h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Brett Goldstein – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Brett Goldstein – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?$15h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Los Angeles Sparks make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?$91d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will “RuPaul’s Drag Race” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?$121d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?$1101d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?$1311d ago