← Whale Watch

vinii

Predicting since Jul 20255,573 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.4K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $5.0K riding on Iran leadership change by...?.

Biggest hit: +$1.9K on Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K95¢99¢+$228
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$2.8K59¢88¢+$1.4K
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?World CupNo$2.9K86¢99¢+$467
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K66¢82¢+$442
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K64¢84¢+$474
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K87¢98¢+$212
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K75¢89¢+$278
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$1.6K83¢91¢+$143
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K84¢94¢+$157
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?World CupNo$73955¢99¢+$583
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechNo$1.2K72¢78¢+$93
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.3K81¢81¢+$2
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$82160¢84¢+$321
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$93285¢99¢+$154
Spain snap election called in 2026?PoliticsNo$84964¢81¢+$224
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$77860¢80¢+$249
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?EconomyNo$60256¢93¢+$401
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$94492¢96¢+$39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$89376¢82¢+$69
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$87666¢71¢+$62
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$81570¢80¢+$113
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsNo$92977¢76¢-$20
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K47¢29¢-$546
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?PoliticsNo$91675¢73¢-$33
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K43¢33¢-$283
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$72265¢79¢+$146
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$81480¢84¢+$36
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$82067¢69¢+$24
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$67775¢93¢+$163
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75568¢75¢+$71
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$74486¢92¢+$44
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?PoliticsNo$72595¢97¢+$14
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.25B by July 31?FinanceNo$42857¢96¢+$292
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?PoliticsNo$60978¢89¢+$84
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $43.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$52773¢95¢+$157
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?TechNo$52452¢68¢+$158
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $47.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$45754¢78¢+$197
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?TechNo$49857¢75¢+$148
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?TechNo$43036¢51¢+$175
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$37849¢79¢+$226
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?FinanceNo$48562¢76¢+$110
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Services revenue be above $30.5B?FinanceYes$51083¢97¢+$83
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?FinanceNo$48458¢71¢+$105
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsNo$45663¢80¢+$125
Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026?CultureNo$46565¢81¢+$109
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$47479¢95¢+$98
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$53893¢99¢+$32
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?TechNo$32832¢54¢+$226
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$41035¢45¢+$116
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$23520¢45¢+$281
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?FinanceNo$30350¢86¢+$211
James Comey charges dropped by July 31?PoliticsNo$38079¢98¢+$92
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$43687¢94¢+$36
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$39079¢92¢+$66
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?TechMeta$34663¢83¢+$105
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?Soccer (other)Yes$29163¢95¢+$146
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?EconomyYes$21119¢37¢+$203
Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.3M?FinanceYes$29955¢76¢+$108
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$22451¢92¢+$177
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsNo$39579¢79¢-$3
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?Soccer (other)Yes$436.3¢55¢+$335
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?World CupNo$7920¢97¢+$297
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$33424¢27¢+$41
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?CryptoNo$26440¢56¢+$110
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22755¢84¢+$123
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$31756¢61¢+$25
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?PoliticsYes$26121¢28¢+$81
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPad revenue be above $8B?FinanceNo$29488¢96¢+$27
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?TechNo$33657¢54¢-$19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$22245¢64¢+$94
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsSomething$59939¢20¢-$286
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$30074¢78¢+$12
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?CryptoYes$28666¢71¢+$21
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by July 31?FinanceNo$21558¢82¢+$90
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?PoliticsNo$26580¢89¢+$29
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Nassr?Soccer (other)No$28294¢98¢+$11
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?FinanceNo$17860¢99¢+$114
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $52B?FinanceYes$25370¢80¢+$37
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?World CupYes$10031¢87¢+$185
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22478¢95¢+$48
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?FinanceNo$24679¢86¢+$22
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.25B by July 31?FinanceNo$14628¢50¢+$113
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$24573¢76¢+$8
Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?CultureNo$22980¢84¢+$11
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$16642¢61¢+$72
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?TechNo$14128¢47¢+$93
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?PoliticsNo$19485¢99¢+$32
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?PoliticsYes$25413¢12¢-$34
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?FinanceNo$16160¢82¢+$57
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?World CupNo$18690¢98¢+$17
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?PoliticsNo$16783¢100¢+$34
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?World CupNo$12550¢81¢+$76
Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?Soccer (other)No$9636¢76¢+$105
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by July 31?FinanceNo$25288¢69¢-$52
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?FinanceNo$19668¢69¢+$2
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$14973¢97¢+$48
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $22B?FinanceNo$14371¢98¢+$52
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?TechNo$14770¢94¢+$48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$14259¢81¢+$52
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $58B?FinanceNo$15872¢88¢+$36

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$4.4K
Finance+$2.1K
Economy+$2.1K
World Cup+$1.6K
Crypto+$1.5K
Tech+$1.4K
Soccer (other)+$793
Culture+$308
eSports+$39
UFC / MMA+$10
Champions League-$8
Boxing-$7
Biggest hit
+$1.9K
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
Toughest beat
-$742
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?$32m ago
  • Sold No · Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?$36918m ago
  • Bought No · Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?$19035m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?$23h ago
  • Bought No · Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Nassr?$2837h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$448h ago
  • Bought No · Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?$2578h ago
  • MERGE Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?$1308h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?$1028h ago
  • Sold Yes · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$598h ago
  • Bought No · Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?$1979h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$399h ago