← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Dec 20212,644 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $12K on Politics markets since Dec 2021.

Right now: $9.5K riding on Modi out by December 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.5K92¢93¢+$177
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.3K89¢89¢+$41
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$7.8K96¢97¢+$83
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$7.3K85¢88¢+$230
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$6.9K80¢82¢+$186
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$5.5K95¢94¢-$61
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.2K89¢94¢+$260
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5.3K89¢90¢+$96
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$4.8K90¢88¢-$123
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$4.3K98¢99¢+$38
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4.1K95¢97¢+$55
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.2K95¢95¢-$9
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.8K87¢92¢+$183
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3.7K58¢56¢-$98
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K91¢94¢+$121
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.7K90¢92¢+$41
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.6K93¢95¢+$47
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.6K93¢94¢+$22
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$2.2K84¢89¢+$132
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.3K85¢86¢+$16
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$2.0K95¢95¢+$0
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?PoliticsYes$1.9K95¢97¢+$36
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K89¢90¢+$0
Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$1.9K97¢99¢+$40
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$1.6K84¢99¢+$281
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.8K76¢75¢-$33
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K91¢90¢-$31
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.7K62¢63¢+$1
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?PoliticsYes$1.4K90¢96¢+$100
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K90¢94¢+$47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K86¢89¢+$37
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$1.6K93¢81¢-$201
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsYes$1.3K90¢91¢+$27
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$1.2K83¢87¢+$56
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$1.3K93¢94¢+$8
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K90¢91¢+$15
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K83¢87¢+$48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1.2K93¢92¢-$11
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.1K69¢69¢-$6
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$92181¢90¢+$102
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.0K90¢89¢-$14
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1.0K99¢96¢-$26
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsNo$98198¢99¢+$9
Haiti elections delayed again?PoliticsYes$94296¢99¢+$23
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$95186¢86¢-$6
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$93397¢97¢+$7
Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsYes$92096¢98¢+$15
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$88498¢99¢+$13
Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$73397¢96¢-$5
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?PoliticsNo$72993¢93¢-$4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$71794¢95¢+$4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$70391¢92¢+$4
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$73740¢38¢-$54
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNo$61188¢98¢+$68
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$65590¢90¢+$4
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$60989¢92¢+$20
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$70593¢82¢-$81
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoNo$62179¢80¢+$1
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$59094¢98¢+$26
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?PoliticsNo$56789¢94¢+$30
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsNo$56492¢96¢+$23
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$55383¢87¢+$24
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$54894¢96¢+$14
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$57290¢87¢-$17
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$67663¢52¢-$122
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$53191¢93¢+$16
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$54096¢96¢+$3
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$50391¢93¢+$13
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$50596¢97¢+$1
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$48395¢94¢-$4
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$47090¢89¢-$8
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?PoliticsNo$45194¢95¢+$9
Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsNo$38090¢97¢+$29
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?PoliticsYes$39290¢93¢+$12
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$36781¢88¢+$32
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$40290¢89¢-$4
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$36793¢96¢+$10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$44415¢13¢-$68
Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsYes$35189¢95¢+$24
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$31896¢96¢+$0
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$31297¢99¢+$3
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsNo$29973¢76¢+$10
Will Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance (SYRIZA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$30599¢99¢+$0
Will Baytaq win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$29698¢100¢+$5
Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$28892¢96¢+$12
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsNo$29698¢98¢+$1
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsYes$29371¢71¢-$4
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsNo$27991¢93¢+$5
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$27792¢94¢+$4
Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$27095¢98¢+$8
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsNo$27473¢71¢-$6
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$25794¢95¢+$1
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$19167¢87¢+$57
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$24288¢89¢+$2
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$24095¢96¢+$2
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$23289¢91¢+$4
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$22997¢97¢-$1
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$19685¢97¢+$27
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$21589¢89¢-$1
Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$19291¢95¢+$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$12K
Other+$1.4K
Crypto+$922
Finance+$522
Tech+$323
Economy+$291
Mentions+$60
Other sports+$13
Premier League+$9
Weather-$6
World Cup-$1
Boxing+$0
Biggest hit
+$857
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Toughest beat
-$571
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$15m ago
  • Sold No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$212m ago
  • Bought No · Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$48328m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?$629m ago
  • Sold No · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2741m ago
  • Sold No · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1841m ago
  • Sold No · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2741m ago
  • Sold No · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1841m ago
  • Sold No · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1841m ago
  • Sold No · Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$9942m ago
  • Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$80945m ago
  • Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$63045m ago