caymanturtle

Predicting since Nov 202450 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.2K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $15K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$7.7K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$15K	23¢	0.0¢	-$15K
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$449	30¢	0.0¢	-$449
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)NFL	RavensResolved	$100	50¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$137	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$137
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$54	47¢	0.0¢	-$54
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$355	11¢	0.0¢	-$355
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$70	13¢	0.0¢	-$70
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$500	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$500
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$45	33¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?Politics	YesResolved	$60	34¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$171	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$171
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$45	45¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$134	67¢	0.0¢	-$134
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$212	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$212
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$50	20¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$35	70¢	0.0¢	-$35
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$200	62¢	0.0¢	-$200
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?NFL	YesResolved	$41	20¢	0.0¢	-$41
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$41	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$41
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$59	9.8¢	0.0¢	-$59
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$69	69¢	0.0¢	-$69
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$84	56¢	0.0¢	-$84

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$5.2K

Economy+$1.0K

Mentions-$907

Champions League-$550

World Cup-$215

Crypto+$204

NHL-$150

NFL+$111

Premier League+$105

Formula 1-$99

NBA+$84

Biggest hit

+$7.7K

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$350

Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.5K1mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.7K1mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.9K1mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.1K1mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4561mo ago
Sold Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4311mo ago