| Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | No | $5.3K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$262 |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Culture | Yes | $2.6K | 48¢ | 69¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | No | $2.6K | 59¢ | 73¢ | +$604 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 62¢ | 94¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$173 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 41¢ | 70¢ | +$934 |
 Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$163 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$21 |
 Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$204 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1.6K | 66¢ | 79¢ | +$333 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $1.9K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$63 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$173 |
| Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $1.5K | 56¢ | 65¢ | +$234 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $385 | 7.0¢ | 31¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?Economy | No | $1.4K | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$359 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?Economy | No | $1.4K | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$296 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $1.0K | 35¢ | 56¢ | +$619 |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $1.5K | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$130 |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $1.5K | 54¢ | 60¢ | +$156 |
 Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$190 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1.1K | 65¢ | 85¢ | +$343 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $1.3K | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$38 |
 Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $1.1K | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$237 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $820 | 40¢ | 64¢ | +$481 |
 Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $939 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$303 |
| Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $941 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$241 |
 Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$144 |
 Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $875 | 75¢ | 98¢ | +$266 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Economy | Yes | $786 | 38¢ | 55¢ | +$335 |
 Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $870 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$228 |
 Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $667 | 28¢ | 46¢ | +$431 |
 Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Politics | Yes | $502 | 47¢ | 96¢ | +$537 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 44¢ | 37¢ | -$185 |
 Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | Yes | $619 | 58¢ | 96¢ | +$406 |
 Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | No | $750 | 67¢ | 88¢ | +$228 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $380 | 38¢ | 94¢ | +$558 |
 Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?Politics | Yes | $817 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$66 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Economy | No | $640 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$187 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?Finance | No | $714 | 61¢ | 71¢ | +$106 |
| Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $696 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$104 |
 Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $740 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$56 |
| Will the Broncos win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $579 | 63¢ | 81¢ | +$174 |
 Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $599 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$154 |
| Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $621 | 55¢ | 67¢ | +$131 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.8M in June?Economy | No | $638 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$111 |
 Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | Yes | $186 | 20¢ | 78¢ | +$546 |
 Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $642 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$74 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $608 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$99 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $682 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$24 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $567 | 29¢ | 36¢ | +$127 |
| Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $569 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$121 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $568 | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$121 |
| Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Politics | No | $452 | 54¢ | 81¢ | +$226 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $326 | 16¢ | 32¢ | +$325 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $110 | 13¢ | 78¢ | +$536 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $261 | 25¢ | 62¢ | +$382 |
| Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $486 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$140 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $336 | 23¢ | 43¢ | +$289 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $533 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$86 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $554 | 54¢ | 60¢ | +$60 |
| Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $444 | 40¢ | 55¢ | +$166 |
 Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in July?Weather | No | $351 | 57¢ | 99¢ | +$258 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics | No | $533 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$28 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $636 | 3.5¢ | 3.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $500 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$40 |
 Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Politics | No | $380 | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$159 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $523 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$15 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July?Economy | No | $383 | 70¢ | 98¢ | +$153 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $473 | 39¢ | 43¢ | +$47 |
 Will Dragan Čović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $429 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$90 |
| Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $430 | 70¢ | 85¢ | +$89 |
| Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $460 | 40¢ | 45¢ | +$58 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $391 | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$116 |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?Economy | No | $392 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$108 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $451 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$43 |
 Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?Politics | Yes | $412 | 41¢ | 50¢ | +$82 |
 Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?Politics | Yes | $341 | 49¢ | 69¢ | +$146 |
| Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Politics | No | $398 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$87 |
| Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $341 | 63¢ | 90¢ | +$140 |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Politics | Yes | $370 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$98 |
| Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $425 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$38 |
| Will 0–1 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?Politics | No | $306 | 58¢ | 88¢ | +$155 |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $381 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$76 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Politics | Yes | $402 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$45 |
 Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $411 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$21 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $417 | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $363 | 43¢ | 49¢ | +$46 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Economy | Yes | $133 | 11¢ | 34¢ | +$265 |
| Will Altria (MO) Q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in millions) be above 16M?Finance | No | $339 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$58 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $258 | 33¢ | 51¢ | +$138 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $468 | 47¢ | 40¢ | -$73 |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $132 | 30¢ | 89¢ | +$262 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Politics | Yes | $232 | 28¢ | 47¢ | +$160 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $469 | 55¢ | 46¢ | -$78 |
| Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Politics | No | $336 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$54 |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | Yes | $373 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$14 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $377 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$7 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $352 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$26 |
| Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $336 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$40 |
 Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $165 | 23¢ | 50¢ | +$201 |
Bought Yes · Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$1420m ago