← Whale Watch

thefluffypaw

Predicting since Apr 2026196 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$935¢13¢-$5
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$441¢13¢-$3
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?BundesligaYesResolved$15.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$59.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?BundesligaYesResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 24?WeatherYesResolved$15.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$1006.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallyTennisKaterina SiniakovaResolved$3941¢0.0¢-$39
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?CultureYesResolved$1069¢0.0¢-$10
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be $300B or greater at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$23.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 24?WeatherYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$90.5¢0.0¢-$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$1068¢0.0¢-$10
Will Meta acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$43.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$33.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on April 24?WeatherYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 24?WeatherYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$51.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$32.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will Le Havre be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1736¢0.0¢-$17
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$10024¢0.0¢-$100
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$626¢0.0¢-$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$943¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$44.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$471¢0.0¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$291¢0.0¢-$2
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$509.0¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather-$630
Tech-$242
Politics-$37
La Liga-$33
Soccer (other)+$29
Crypto-$18
World Cup+$15
Finance-$12
Tennis-$11
Culture-$10
NBA-$8
Bundesliga-$4
Biggest hit
+$53
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-04-26?
Toughest beat
-$129
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 23?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Neymar play in the World Cup?$251mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1042mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$1032mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$22mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$22mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$22mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$232mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$252mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$22mo ago