Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$125 |
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 100¢ | +$73 |
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Politics | No | $36 | 43¢ | 53¢ | +$9 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.4¢ | 12¢ | +$18 |
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Tech | No | $22 | 47¢ | 64¢ | +$8 |
Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 25¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.1¢ | 7.2¢ | +$3 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 13¢ | 4.9¢ | -$30 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 5.7¢ | 4.7¢ | -$4 |
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$4 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.1¢ | 3.5¢ | +$6 |
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$48 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 6.0¢ | 4.9¢ | -$3 |
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$45 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.2¢ | 12¢ | +$5 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.1¢ | 4.8¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 5.1¢ | 4.3¢ | -$2 |
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $12 | 4.0¢ | 3.8¢ | -$1 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 4.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$6 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 4.5¢ | 7.4¢ | +$4 |
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?La Liga | Yes | $6 | 3.3¢ | 4.8¢ | +$3 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 1.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$16 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | Yes | $17 | 8.6¢ | 4.4¢ | -$8 |
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.4¢ | 1.8¢ | +$2 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.2¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.3¢ | 3.0¢ | +$2 |
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics | No | $10 | 12¢ | 9.4¢ | -$2 |
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.1¢ | 1.7¢ | +$2 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.6¢ | 1.6¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ | 3.5¢ | +$3 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $2 | 1.3¢ | 3.5¢ | +$4 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.9¢ | 2.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.9¢ | 5.7¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 3.7¢ | 3.3¢ | -$1 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 1.6¢ | +$3 |
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 6.6¢ | 4.0¢ | -$4 |
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 8.6¢ | 7.6¢ | -$1 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 3.6¢ | +$2 |
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$56 |
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 1.3¢ | +$2 |
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $62 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$57 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.6¢ | 1.7¢ | +$0 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 2.4¢ | -$0 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 1.1¢ | +$2 |
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.1¢ | 3.5¢ | +$1 |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.0¢ | 1.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$60 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.4¢ | 2.8¢ | +$1 |
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.9¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2 |
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 6.1¢ | 2.8¢ | -$5 |
Will Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.1¢ | 7.8¢ | +$1 |
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 2.6¢ | +$2 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$3 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.0¢ | 2.4¢ | -$1 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $18 | 15¢ | 2.9¢ | -$14 |
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 1.7¢ | +$2 |
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Gricelda Valencia de la Mora win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.9¢ | 2.9¢ | -$6 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.3¢ | 2.9¢ | +$2 |
Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.8¢ | 3.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.1¢ | 6.2¢ | +$0 |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 6.3¢ | +$1 |
Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 2.5¢ | -$11 |
Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.3¢ | 5.2¢ | +$2 |
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 6.0¢ | +$2 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.6¢ | 1.3¢ | -$1 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$0 |
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$0 |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 4.9¢ | -$3 |
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$5 |
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.2¢ | 4.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 4.9¢ | 3.3¢ | -$1 |
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$0 |
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$10 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Karin Helmersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.4¢ | 2.9¢ | -$0 |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.9¢ | 1.9¢ | -$2 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.3¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$0 |
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$6 |
Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.3¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |