← Whale Watch

Ardtysrt01

Predicting since Mar 20255,930 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsYes$1413¢38¢+$28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$155.4¢8.8¢+$10
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1012¢29¢+$14
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$251.0¢0.9¢-$1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$155.1¢8.0¢+$8
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$124.0¢5.9¢+$6
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$167.4¢8.5¢+$2
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?La LigaYes$198.2¢7.6¢-$1
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$61.0¢2.9¢+$11
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$640.2¢0.1¢-$48
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$610.6¢0.1¢-$45
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$620.6¢0.1¢-$47
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$34.9¢26¢+$12
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$600.2¢0.1¢-$45
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$108.2¢12¢+$5
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$640.8¢0.1¢-$52
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$102.1¢2.5¢+$2
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4813¢3.2¢-$36
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?EconomyYes$515¢31¢+$6
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$112.4¢2.3¢-$1
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$92.5¢2.9¢+$1
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$102.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$102.1¢2.1¢-$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsYes$178.6¢4.8¢-$8
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$180.7¢0.4¢-$9
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?PoliticsYes$56.6¢11¢+$3
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$163.5¢1.8¢-$8
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$71.6¢1.8¢+$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$62.3¢2.8¢+$1
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$71.4¢1.6¢+$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$30.7¢1.6¢+$4
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$91.2¢0.9¢-$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$53.8¢4.9¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$62.1¢2.4¢+$1
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$30.7¢1.5¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$145.4¢2.5¢-$7
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$51.6¢2.1¢+$2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?TechNo$16.1¢32¢+$5
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$20.6¢1.7¢+$4
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$41.0¢1.6¢+$2
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$62.1¢2.1¢-$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$51.9¢2.4¢+$1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$54.9¢5.1¢+$0
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$40.9¢1.4¢+$2
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?PoliticsYes$43.1¢4.2¢+$1
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$71.6¢1.2¢-$2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$51.0¢1.1¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$66.8¢6.0¢-$1
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori?PoliticsYes$10.4¢3.5¢+$4
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$20.8¢1.5¢+$2
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$71.5¢0.9¢-$3
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?EconomyYes$314¢25¢+$2
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?PoliticsYes$86.1¢3.3¢-$4
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$82.6¢1.4¢-$4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$71.0¢0.7¢-$2
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$30.9¢1.1¢+$1
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.9¢0.9¢-$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$2215¢2.9¢-$18
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$51.1¢0.9¢-$1
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$41.1¢1.1¢+$0
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$41.1¢1.1¢-$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$41.3¢1.1¢-$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$82.2¢1.1¢-$4
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?PoliticsYes$511¢8.2¢-$1
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$30.9¢0.9¢+$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$51.3¢1.1¢-$1
Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?PoliticsYes$1312¢3.5¢-$9
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.9¢0.8¢-$1
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$30.5¢0.5¢+$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$41.3¢1.1¢-$0
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$70.6¢0.4¢-$3
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?EconomyYes$14751¢1.2¢-$144
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$20.8¢1.8¢+$2
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$72.3¢1.2¢-$3
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$10.5¢1.5¢+$2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.8¢0.8¢-$0
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$200.3¢0.1¢-$17
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$31.6¢1.7¢+$0
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$30.7¢0.7¢+$0
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$20.4¢0.9¢+$2
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$23.8¢7.5¢+$2
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$20.8¢1.1¢+$1
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$00.4¢3.0¢+$3
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechYes$310¢11¢+$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$30.8¢0.9¢+$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?PoliticsYes$11.1¢2.6¢+$2
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?TechYes$211¢20¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$42.0¢1.6¢-$1
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?PoliticsYes$36.1¢6.3¢+$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$41.1¢0.8¢-$1
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$31.2¢1.1¢-$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30.7¢0.5¢-$1
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$41.0¢0.7¢-$1
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30.7¢0.5¢-$1
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$60.6¢0.3¢-$4
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$31.0¢0.9¢-$0
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30.8¢0.8¢-$0
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?FinanceYesResolved$015¢100¢+$2
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$10.4¢1.1¢+$2
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?TechYes$327.2¢0.6¢-$29

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$687
Tech-$314
Premier League-$312
Crypto-$258
Economy-$250
Mentions-$243
Finance-$221
Culture-$149
NBA-$119
Weather-$81
Formula 1-$65
Champions League+$37
Biggest hit
+$285
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 1?
Toughest beat
-$288
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$04d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$04d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$04d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$04d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$135d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$95d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?$05d ago