Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 38¢ | +$28 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.4¢ | 8.8¢ | +$10 |
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 12¢ | 29¢ | +$14 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.1¢ | 8.0¢ | +$8 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $12 | 4.0¢ | 5.9¢ | +$6 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 7.4¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2 |
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?La Liga | Yes | $19 | 8.2¢ | 7.6¢ | -$1 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +$11 |
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$48 |
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$45 |
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $62 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$47 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 4.9¢ | 26¢ | +$12 |
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$45 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.2¢ | 12¢ | +$5 |
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$52 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.1¢ | 2.5¢ | +$2 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 13¢ | 3.2¢ | -$36 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 31¢ | +$6 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $11 | 2.4¢ | 2.3¢ | -$1 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9 | 2.5¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$0 |
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | Yes | $17 | 8.6¢ | 4.8¢ | -$8 |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.6¢ | 11¢ | +$3 |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 3.5¢ | 1.8¢ | -$8 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.6¢ | 1.8¢ | +$0 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.3¢ | 2.8¢ | +$1 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.4¢ | 1.6¢ | +$1 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 1.6¢ | +$4 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.8¢ | 4.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.1¢ | 2.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 1.5¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $14 | 5.4¢ | 2.5¢ | -$7 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.6¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $1 | 6.1¢ | 32¢ | +$5 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 1.7¢ | +$4 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.0¢ | 1.6¢ | +$2 |
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.9¢ | 2.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.9¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 1.4¢ | +$2 |
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.1¢ | 4.2¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.6¢ | 1.2¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.8¢ | 6.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 3.5¢ | +$4 |
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 1.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 6.1¢ | 3.3¢ | -$4 |
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.6¢ | 1.4¢ | -$4 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $22 | 15¢ | 2.9¢ | -$18 |
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 8.2¢ | -$1 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 3.5¢ | -$9 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | +$0 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Economy | Yes | $147 | 51¢ | 1.2¢ | -$144 |
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | +$2 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.3¢ | 1.2¢ | -$3 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 1.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.6¢ | 1.7¢ | +$0 |
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | +$0 |
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 7.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 3.0¢ | +$3 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 2.6¢ | +$2 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?Tech | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ | 1.6¢ | -$1 |
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.1¢ | 6.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$4 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$0 |
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 1.1¢ | +$2 |
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $32 | 7.2¢ | 0.6¢ | -$29 |