← Whale Watch

lomneivan

Predicting since Mar 202664 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $222K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $101K riding on Which party will win the Senate in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$97K on Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$101K56¢56¢+$892
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$39K62¢62¢+$52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$30K63¢64¢+$304
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$20K80¢89¢+$2.2K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$15K79¢87¢+$1.5K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12K61¢67¢+$1.0K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$11K80¢90¢+$1.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$10K79¢87¢+$964
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$9.3K79¢87¢+$878
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K62¢68¢+$432
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$4.1K38¢42¢+$376
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K41¢93¢+$1.4K
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$7.9K9.5¢0.1¢-$7.9K
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$7026.1¢0.1¢-$696
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?PoliticsYesResolved$40.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?PoliticsNoResolved$71362¢0.0¢-$713
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$6.7K71¢0.0¢-$6.7K
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?PoliticsYesResolved$395.0¢0.0¢-$39
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?PoliticsYesResolved$6887.0¢0.0¢-$688
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?PoliticsYesResolved$393.0¢0.0¢-$39
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?PoliticsYesResolved$89215¢0.0¢-$892
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$29670¢0.0¢-$296
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?PoliticsYesResolved$4310¢0.0¢-$43
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?PoliticsNoResolved$28K15¢0.0¢-$28K
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$910.4¢0.0¢-$91
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$7699.3¢0.0¢-$769
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?PoliticsNoResolved$15365¢0.0¢-$153
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?World CupYesResolved$72K54¢0.0¢-$72K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$222K
World Cup-$72K
Biggest hit
+$97K
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$8.1K
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4345h ago
  • Bought No · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$123d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$73d ago