Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $35 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
North Korea missile launch by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $200 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Eric Perrot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the US strike Syria next?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?College Football | YesResolved | $10 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |