PnW

Predicting since Jan 202542 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Weather markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $1.1K riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Megaquake before August?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Weather	Yes	$44	8.0¢	8.5¢	+$3
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup	YesResolved	$103	26¢	0.0¢	-$103
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?Weather	YesResolved	$123	15¢	0.0¢	-$123
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics	NoResolved	$40	21¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 14?Weather	YesResolved	$24	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$100	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$17	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$103	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$103
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World Cup	YesResolved	$56	14¢	0.0¢	-$56
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$560	28¢	0.0¢	-$560
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$210	21¢	0.0¢	-$210
Megaquake by August 31?Weather	YesResolved	$125	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$125
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?Politics	YesResolved	$90	7.8¢	0.0¢	-$90
Megaquake by June 30?Weather	YesResolved	$770	17¢	0.0¢	-$770
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$99	9.9¢	0.0¢	-$99
Megaquake by March 31?Weather	YesResolved	$150	15¢	0.0¢	-$150
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World Cup	YesResolved	$23	15¢	0.0¢	-$23
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?Tech	YesResolved	$31	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1.1K	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$1.1K
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?eSports	YesResolved	$953	48¢	0.0¢	-$953
Megaquake by July 31?Weather	YesResolved	$580	12¢	0.0¢	-$580
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$284	7.7¢	0.0¢	-$284
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$106	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$106
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?World Cup	YesResolved	$115	23¢	0.0¢	-$115
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 14?Weather	YesResolved	$36	12¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$55	11¢	0.0¢	-$55
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Politics	YesResolved	$71	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$71
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$68	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$68
Megaquake before August?Weather	NoResolved	$30	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$30
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$50	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$50
Megaquake by December 31?Weather	YesResolved	$786	8.1¢	0.0¢	-$786
Megaquake by January 31?Weather	YesResolved	$727	7.5¢	0.0¢	-$727
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$20	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Tech	YesResolved	$7	15¢	0.0¢	-$7
LoL: HLE vs T1eSports	T1Resolved	$198	66¢	0.0¢	-$198

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$10K

Politics-$2.5K

eSports+$816

World Cup-$753

Tech-$46

Biggest hit

+$14K

Megaquake before August?

Toughest beat

-$4

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$551d ago
Sold Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?$14d ago
Bought Yes · Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?$407d ago
Bought Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?$47d ago
Sold Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?$17d ago
Sold Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?$17d ago
Bought Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?$27d ago
Bought Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?$07d ago
Bought Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?$47d ago
Bought Yes · Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?$17d ago
Bought Yes · Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?$27d ago