← Whale Watch

smoko

Predicting since Apr 2025466 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.0K on Crypto markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $1.9K riding on UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 4?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
UFC 318: Phillips vs. OliveiraUFC / MMAPhillips Resolved$7512¢0.0¢-$75
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3715¢0.0¢-$37
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1326¢0.0¢-$13
Will Elon tweet 420–449 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$963.8¢0.0¢-$96
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1821.6¢0.0¢-$182
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by decision? UFC / MMAYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 7AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 7AM ETCryptoDownResolved$8012¢0.0¢-$80
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$100.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?PoliticsYesResolved$93.0¢0.0¢-$9
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 8PM ETCryptoUpResolved$176.2¢0.0¢-$17
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 9PM ETCryptoUpResolved$36911¢0.0¢-$369
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$165.1¢0.0¢-$16
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?PoliticsYesResolved$122.2¢0.0¢-$12
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon tweet between 750 and 799 times September 1–30?CultureYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 8PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$19814¢0.0¢-$198
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 8AM ETCryptoDownResolved$162.3¢0.0¢-$16
UFC 318: Prado vs. VeretennikovUFC / MMAPrado Resolved$24811¢0.0¢-$248
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21610¢0.0¢-$216
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by submission?UFC / MMAYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?CryptoYesResolved$381.9¢0.0¢-$38
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen UFC / MMAVettori Resolved$14921¢0.0¢-$149
UFC 318 Parlay – Poirier + Rodriguez UFC / MMAYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$140.4¢0.0¢-$14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$29413¢0.0¢-$294
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9716¢0.0¢-$97
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?PoliticsYesResolved$102.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3400 on July 23?CryptoNoResolved$73.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$964.5¢0.0¢-$96
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovUFC / MMAGustafssonResolved$5454¢0.0¢-$54
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$42.9¢0.0¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$41021¢0.0¢-$410
UFC Fight Night: Will Walker vs. Zhang be decided any other way?UFC / MMAYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Luque vs. ÁlvarezUFC / MMALuqueResolved$4319¢0.0¢-$43
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11117¢0.0¢-$111
UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierUFC / MMAPoirierResolved$40727¢0.0¢-$407
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12325¢0.0¢-$123
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 7AM ETCryptoDownResolved$451.9¢0.0¢-$45
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2900 on July 16 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$36012¢0.0¢-$360
UFC Fight Night: Anders vs. DuncanUFC / MMAAndersResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times?OtherYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig UFC / MMACraig Resolved$4127¢0.0¢-$41
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 19 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$5313¢0.0¢-$53
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$204.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$572.5¢0.0¢-$57
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18?CryptoYesResolved$220.9¢0.0¢-$22
Will Trump say "Communist" this week?MentionsNoResolved$4848¢0.0¢-$48
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3200 and $3300 on July 21?CryptoYesResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$123.8¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21611¢0.0¢-$216
UFC 318: Johnson vs. ZellhuberUFC / MMAZellhuber Resolved$3333¢0.0¢-$33
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$20.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$124.1¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times?OtherYesResolved$71.0¢0.0¢-$7
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$21413¢0.0¢-$214
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 3AM ETCryptoUpResolved$7512¢0.0¢-$75
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?CryptoYesResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$823.5¢0.0¢-$82
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-AcostaUFC / MMAAcosta Resolved$17720¢0.0¢-$177
Will Elon tweet between 390 and 419 times August 29–September 5?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$20.9¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 4AM ETCryptoDownResolved$877.1¢0.0¢-$87
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$424.8¢0.0¢-$42
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$268.7¢0.0¢-$26
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 9PM ETCryptoUpResolved$33015¢0.0¢-$330
Will Elon tweet between 800 and 849 times September 1–30?CultureYesResolved$80.4¢0.0¢-$8
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1413¢0.0¢-$14
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$110.8¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?CultureYesResolved$75.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on July 23 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$55.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?CultureYesResolved$145.5¢0.0¢-$14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 19 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$5611¢0.0¢-$56
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times?OtherYesResolved$472.9¢0.0¢-$47
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 3AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ETCryptoDownResolved$8515¢0.0¢-$85
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 20 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$168.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?PoliticsYesResolved$188.3¢0.0¢-$18
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$72.3¢0.0¢-$7
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$48215¢0.0¢-$482
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$156.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?PoliticsYesResolved$535.3¢0.0¢-$53
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?MentionsNoResolved$1975¢0.0¢-$19
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$73.5¢0.0¢-$7
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$416¢0.0¢-$4
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. HernandezUFC / MMADolidzeResolved$5418¢0.0¢-$54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$86.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon tweet between 850 and 899 times September 1–30?CultureYesResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 4AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10718¢0.0¢-$107
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$3556.3¢0.0¢-$355

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$3.0K
UFC / MMA-$1.4K
Politics+$1.3K
Weather-$123
Other-$108
Mentions-$103
Tech-$102
Culture-$38
Soccer (other)-$20
Other sports+$19
Economy-$16
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 4?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$89mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$29mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$09mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$369mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$199mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$59mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$39mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$219mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$49mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$59mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$419mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$429mo ago