Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $498 | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$72 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | No | $331 | 53¢ | 81¢ | +$178 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $496 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$13 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $497 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$63 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $498 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$134 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $494 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$180 |
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $216 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$19 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4.4K | 80¢ | 3.1¢ | -$4.2K |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 41¢ | 27¢ | -$14 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $17 | 8.7¢ | 3.1¢ | -$11 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 3.5¢ | 0.5¢ | -$15 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $244 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2.9K | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $60 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $33 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $94 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3.1K | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
Will Keir Starmer say "McSweeney" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $372 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$372 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $715 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$715 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?Tech | YesResolved | $121 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $133 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $31 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $101 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?Mentions | YesResolved | $46 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $108 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $533 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$533 |
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $175 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $150 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $166 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$166 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $75 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $32 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.3K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $176 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Starmer say "Iran" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | YesResolved | $78 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $520 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$520 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $590 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$590 |
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $335 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$335 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.5K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.2K | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $48 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.3K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?Mentions | YesResolved | $46 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?Finance | NoResolved | $230 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |