← Whale Watch

Sm1

Predicting since May 20241,233 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.0K on Politics markets since May 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?TechYes$58.9¢49¢+$24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$74.1¢16¢+$20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$83.0¢8.8¢+$16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1039¢80¢+$11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$94.8¢8.6¢+$7
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$17.1¢98¢+$15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$216¢100¢+$11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$872¢95¢+$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$525¢47¢+$4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$74.2¢5.1¢+$2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$946¢42¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$622¢28¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$755¢57¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$519¢27¢+$2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$817¢14¢-$2
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$866¢56¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$866¢56¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$540¢51¢+$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$511¢12¢+$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$818¢13¢-$2
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?CultureYes$12.9¢16¢+$4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$13.8¢28¢+$5
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$61.3¢0.9¢-$2
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?TechYes$33.2¢5.3¢+$2
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$329¢44¢+$2
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$23.6¢10¢+$3
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$319¢26¢+$1
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$18.0¢31¢+$3
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$31.7¢2.1¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$414¢12¢-$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$313¢14¢+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechYes$447¢38¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?PoliticsYes$421¢16¢-$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechYes$532¢20¢-$2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$43.1¢2.4¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$377¢87¢+$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?TechYes$15.0¢18¢+$2
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$60.9¢0.4¢-$3
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30.6¢0.5¢-$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$364¢57¢-$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$26.0¢8.5¢+$1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$23.8¢4.9¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$242¢51¢+$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$22.1¢2.6¢+$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$91.3¢0.4¢-$6
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?CultureYes$360¢44¢-$1
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$20.6¢0.7¢+$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$25.5¢5.1¢-$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$61.8¢0.5¢-$4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$31.9¢1.1¢-$1
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$23.1¢2.8¢-$0
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$130¢53¢+$1
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$22.1¢1.8¢-$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$21.5¢1.7¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$435¢14¢-$2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$21.4¢1.1¢-$0
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11.5¢2.3¢+$0
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$24.3¢3.1¢-$1
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$32.0¢0.9¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$27.1¢5.1¢-$1
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11.5¢2.1¢+$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$13.3¢2.9¢-$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10.9¢1.1¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$223¢14¢-$1
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$10.2¢0.3¢+$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$12.0¢2.4¢+$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$01.9¢9.7¢+$1
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$512¢2.6¢-$4
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$530¢6.5¢-$4
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$217¢9.0¢-$1
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$22.1¢1.1¢-$1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$340¢14¢-$2
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?PoliticsYesResolved$67.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$727¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "N Word" in January?MentionsYesResolved$14.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 9?WeatherYesResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$31.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$725¢0.0¢-$7
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?World CupNoResolved$447¢0.0¢-$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$51.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$20.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.0K
Culture-$146
Economy-$66
Finance+$32
Tech+$28
NBA-$25
Mentions-$24
Weather-$19
Champions League-$18
Crypto-$17
Premier League-$8
World Cup-$6
Biggest hit
+$144
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Toughest beat
-$464
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$611d ago
  • Bought No · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$011d ago
  • Bought No · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$011d ago
  • Bought No · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$011d ago
  • Bought France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$211d ago
  • Bought No · Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?$111d ago
  • Bought No · Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?$311d ago